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We extend the classical mean-variance (MV) framework and propose a robust and sparse portfolio selection model incorporating an ellipsoidal uncertainty set to reduce the impact of estimation errors and fixed transaction costs to penalize…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 J. Chen , S. D. Ahipaşaoğlu , N. Zhang , Y. Yang

Machine learning driven trading strategies have garnered a lot of interest over the past few years. There is, however, limited consensus on the ideal approach for the development of such trading strategies. Further, most literature has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Prasang Gupta , Shaz Hoda , Anand Rao

Investing in Asian markets through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provides investors with access to rapidly expanding economies and valuable diversification opportunities. This study examines the advantages and challenges of investing in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Bhathiya Divelgama , Nancy Asare Nyarko , Naa Sackley Dromo Aryee , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Zhenghan Zhu , Steven Kay

In this paper, we introduce EvoPort, a novel evolutionary portfolio optimization method that leverages stochastic exploration over a spectrum of investment pipeline depths. From raw equity data, we employ a randomized feature generation…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-11 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Thi Hau

This paper investigates the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) constraint on a regularized mean-variance (MV) portfolio optimization problem in a large-dimensional setting, in which a positive definite regularization…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Ruike Wu , Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

Portfolio optimization constitutes a cornerstone of risk management by quantifying the risk-return trade-off. Since it inherently depends on accurate parameter estimation under conditions of future uncertainty, the selection of appropriate…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Juchan Kim , Inwoo Tae , Yongjae Lee

Harvey et al. (2010) extended the Bayesian estimation method by Sahu et al. (2003) to a multivariate skew-elliptical distribution with a general skewness matrix, and applied it to Bayesian portfolio optimization with higher moments.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Sakae Oya , Teruo Nakatsuma

In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-13 Joan Gonzalvez , Edmond Lezmi , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

We use projected entangled-pair states (PEPS) to calculate the large deviations (LD) statistics of the dynamical activity of the two dimensional East model, and the two dimensional symmetric simple exclusion process (SSEP) with open…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-06 Luke Causer , Mari Carmen Bañuls , Juan P. Garrahan

Mean-reverting behavior of individuals assets is widely known in financial markets. In fact, we can construct a portfolio that has mean-reverting behavior and use it in trading strategies to extract profits. In this paper, we show that we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sung Min Yoon

Managing a large-scale portfolio with many assets is one of the most challenging tasks in the field of finance. It is partly because estimation of either covariance or precision matrix of asset returns tends to be unstable or even…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Sakae Oya

We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Maitreyi Swaroop , Tamar Krishnamurti , Bryan Wilder

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a prominent approach to optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. The massive computational capability of edge devices such as mobile phones, coupled with privacy concerns, has led to a surging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Zhongxiang Dai , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

While much research effort has been dedicated to scaling up sparse Gaussian process (GP) models based on inducing variables for big data, little attention is afforded to the other less explored class of low-rank GP approximations that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low

This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

We introduce a financial portfolio optimization framework that allows us to automatically select the relevant assets and estimate their weights by relying on a sorted $\ell_1$-Norm penalization, henceforth SLOPE. Our approach is able to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Philipp J. Kremer , Sangkyun Lee , Malgorzata Bogdan , Sandra Paterlini

In this paper, we revisit the parameter learning problem, namely the estimation of model parameters for Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). DBNs are directed graphical models of stochastic processes that encompasses and generalize Hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 E. Benhamou , J. Atif , R. Laraki
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