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We consider bootstrap-based testing for threshold effects in non-linear threshold autoregressive (TAR) models. It is well-known that classic tests based on asymptotic theory tend to be oversized in the case of small, or even moderate sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci , Anders Rahbek

This paper develops a flexible distribution-free method for collective outlier detection and enumeration, designed for situations in which the presence of outliers can be detected powerfully even though their precise identification may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chiara G. Magnani , Matteo Sesia , Aldo Solari

We discuss a general approach to handling "multiple hypotheses" testing in the case when a particular hypothesis states that the vector of parameters identifying the distribution of observations belongs to a convex compact set associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-24 A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditski , A. Nemirovski

This paper focuses on testing for the presence of alpha in time-varying factor pricing models, specifically when the number of securities N is larger than the time dimension of the return series T. We introduce a maximum-type test that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Huifang MA , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

We introduce a methodology for robust Bayesian estimation with robust divergence (e.g., density power divergence or {\gamma}-divergence), indexed by a single tuning parameter. It is well known that the posterior density induced by robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Shouto Yonekura , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The phenomenon of adversarial examples in deep learning models has caused substantial concern over their reliability. While many deep neural networks have shown impressive performance in terms of predictive accuracy, it has been shown that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Sadia Chowdhury , Ruth Urner

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Xiaoou Pan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Single index model is a powerful yet simple model, widely used in statistics, machine learning, and other scientific fields. It models the regression function as $g(<a,x>)$, where a is an unknown index vector and x are the features. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Zeljko Kereta , Timo Klock , Valeriya Naumova

With the great capabilities of deep classifiers for radar data processing come the risks of learning dataset-specific features that do not generalize well. In this work, the robustness of two deep convolutional architectures, trained and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Mikolaj Czerkawski , Carmine Clemente , Craig Michie , Christos Tachtatzis

Scalar-on-function linear models are commonly used to regress functional predictors on a scalar response. However, functional models are more difficult to estimate and interpret than traditional linear models, and may be unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-13 Stephanie T. Chen , Luo Xiao , Ana-Maria Staicu

We introduce two novel non-parametric statistical hypothesis tests. The first test, called the relative test of dependency, enables us to determine whether one source variable is significantly more dependent on a first target variable or a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Wacha Bounliphone , Eugene Belilovsky , Arthur Tenenhaus , Ioannis Antonoglou , Arthur Gretton , Matthew B. Blashcko

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

In this article, we consider change point inference for high dimensional linear models. For change point detection, given any subgroup of variables, we propose a new method for testing the homogeneity of corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Bin Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

We propose an adaptive independent Metropolis--Hastings algorithm with the ability to learn from all previous proposals in the chain except the current location. It is an extension of the independent Metropolis--Hastings algorithm.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Lars Holden , Ragnar Hauge , Marit Holden

Classification models are very sensitive to data uncertainty, and finding robust classifiers that are less sensitive to data uncertainty has raised great interest in the machine learning literature. This paper aims to construct robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Vali Asimit , Ioannis Kyriakou , Simone Santoni , Salvatore Scognamiglio , Rui Zhu

Advances in computing power enable more widespread use of the mode, which is a natural measure of central tendency since, as the most probable value, it is not influenced by the tails in the distribution. The properties of the half-sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 David R. Bickel , Rudolf Fruehwirth

Contemporary testing problems in statistics are increasingly complex, i.e., high-dimensional. Tests based on the $2$- and $\infty$-norm have received considerable attention in such settings, as they are powerful against dense and sparse…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-23 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

Two procedures for checking Bayesian models are compared using a simple test problem based on the local Hubble expansion. Over four orders of magnitude, p-values derived from a global goodness-of-fit criterion for posterior probability…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-27 Leon B. Lucy