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The recent "correlation breakdown" in the modeling of credit default swaps, in which model correlations had to exceed 100% in order to reproduce market prices of supersenior tranches, is analyzed and argued to be a fundamental market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-01 Rodanthy Tzani , Alexios P. Polychronakos

"Fundamental theorem of asset pricing" roughly states that absence of arbitrage opportunity in a market is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability. We give a simple counterexample to this oversimplified statement. Prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Louis Paulot

We consider a nondominated model of a discrete-time financial market where stocks are traded dynamically, and options are available for static hedging. In a general measure-theoretic setting, we show that absence of arbitrage in a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Bruno Bouchard , Marcel Nutz

We consider the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) and hedging prices of options under non-dominated model uncertainty and portfolio constrains in discrete time. We first show that no arbitrage holds if and only if there exists…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

This paper deals with the notion of a large financial market and the concepts of asymptotic arbitrage and strong asymptotic arbitrage (both of the first kind), introduced by Yu.M. Kabanov and D.O. Kramkov. We show that the arbitrage…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Along with the energy transition, the energy markets change their organization toward more decentralized and self-organized structures, striving for locally optimal profits. These tendencies may endanger the physical grid stability. One…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-03-24 Tim Ritmeester , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephanos Panayides

We generalize the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to include the contribution of virtual arbitrage opportunities. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process. The latter is incorporated in the APT framework to calculate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Kirill Ilinski

We treat a discrete-time asset allocation problem in an arbitrage-free, generically incomplete financial market, where the investor has a possibly non-concave utility function and wealth is restricted to remain non-negative. Under easily…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Laurence Carassus , Miklós Rásonyi , Andrea M. Rodrigues

We establish the equivalence between a principle of almost absence of arbitrage opportunities and nearly rational decision-making. The implications of such principle are considered in the context of the aggregation of probabilistic opinions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-24 Leandro Nascimento

The paper studies the concepts of hedging and arbitrage in a non probabilistic framework. It provides conditions for non probabilistic arbitrage based on the topological structure of the trajectory space and makes connections with the usual…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-08 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando , Pablo Olivares

When trading incurs proportional costs, leverage can scale an asset's return only up to a maximum multiple, which is sensitive to its volatility and liquidity. In a model with one safe and one risky asset, with constant investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Paolo Guasoni , Eberhard Mayerhofer

In this work, we identify the most general measure of arbitrage for any market model governed by It\^o processes. We show that our arbitrage measure is invariant under changes of num\'{e}raire and equivalent probability. Moreover, such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-24 Samuel E. Vazquez , Simone Farinelli

In the context of a general continuous financial market model, we study whether the additional information associated with an honest time gives rise to arbitrage profits. By relying on the theory of progressive enlargement of filtrations,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-14 Claudio Fontana , Monique Jeanblanc , Shiqi Song

We derive deterministic criteria for the existence and non-existence of equivalent (local) martingale measures for financial markets driven by multi-dimensional time-inhomogeneous diffusions. Our conditions can be used to construct…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-22 David Criens

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

We introduce a pathwise approach to analyze the relative performance of an equity portfolio with respect to a benchmark market portfolio. In this energy-entropy framework, the relative performance is decomposed into three components: a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-05 Soumik Pal , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Consider a discrete-time infinite horizon financial market model in which the logarithm of the stock price is a time discretization of a stochastic differential equation. Under conditions different from those given in a previous paper of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Martin Le Doux Mbele Bidima , Miklós Rásonyi

This paper presents a stochastic model for discrete-time trading in financial markets where trading costs are given by convex cost functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. The model does not assume the existence of a cash…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-24 Teemu Pennanen

We give characterizations of asymptotic arbitrage of the first and second kind and of strong asymptotic arbitrage for large financial markets with small proportional transaction costs $\la_n$ on market $n$ in terms of contiguity properties…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-05 Irene Klein , Emmanuel Lepinette , Lavinia Ostafe