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Prior choice can strongly influence Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA (B-DARMA) inference for compositional time-series. Using simulations with (i) correct lag order, (ii) overfitting, and (iii) underfitting, we assess five priors:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Harrison Katz , Liz Medina , Robert E. Weiss

We introduce a new shrinkage prior on function spaces, called the functional horseshoe prior (fHS), that encourages shrinkage towards parametric classes of functions. Unlike other shrinkage priors for parametric models, the fHS shrinkage…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-01 Minsuk Shin , Anirban Bhattacharya , Valen E. Johnson

We consider the problem of learning the structure of a high dimensional precision matrix under sparsity assumptions. We propose to use a shrinkage prior, called the DL-graphical prior based on the Dirichlet-Laplace prior used for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Sayantan Banerjee

Despite their widespread use in practice, the asymptotic properties of Bayesian penalized splines have not been investigated so far. We close this gap and study posterior concentration rates for Bayesian penalized splines in a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Paul Bach , Nadja Klein

This paper proposes a class of asymmetric priors to perform Bayesian wavelet shrinkage in the standard nonparametric regression model with Gaussian error. The priors are composed by mixtures of a point mass function at zero and one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

We investigate the problem of deriving adaptive posterior rates of contraction on $\mathbb{L}^{\infty}$ balls in density estimation. Although it is known that log-density priors can achieve optimal rates when the true density is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Zacharie Naulet

In this work, we address the problem of solving a series of underdetermined linear inverse problems subject to a sparsity constraint. We generalize the spike-and-slab prior distribution to encode a priori correlation of the support of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari , Ole Winther , Lars Kai Hansen

Isotonic regression or monotone function estimation is a problem of estimating function values under monotonicity constraints, which appears naturally in many scientific fields. This paper proposes a new Bayesian method with global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Ryo Okano , Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Nowadays in density estimation, posterior rates of convergence for location and location-scale mixtures of Gaussians are only known under light-tail assumptions; with better rates achieved by location mixtures. It is conjectured, but not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Zacharie Naulet , Judith Rousseau

In nonparameteric Bayesian approaches, Gaussian stochastic processes can serve as priors on real-valued function spaces. Existing literature on the posterior convergence rates under Gaussian process priors shows that it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Xiao Fang , Anindya Bhadra

For Gaussian sampling matrices, we provide bounds on the minimal number of measurements $m$ required to achieve robust weighted sparse recovery guarantees in terms of how well a given prior model for the sparsity support aligns with the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Bubacarr Bah , Rachel Ward

Time-varying parameter (TVP) models are very flexible in capturing gradual changes in the effect of a predictor on the outcome variable. However, in particular when the number of predictors is large, there is a known risk of overfitting and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-09 Annalisa Cadonna , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Peter Knaus

The least-square regression problems or inverse problems have been widely studied in many fields such as compressive sensing, signal processing, and image processing. To solve this kind of ill-posed problems, a regularization term (i.e.,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-12 Gang Liu , Ting-Zhu Huang , Xiao-Guang Lv , Jun Liu

In this paper, we propose a new horseshoe-type prior hierarchy for adaptively shrinking spline-based functional effects towards a predefined vector space of parametric functions. Instead of shrinking each spline coefficient towards zero, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Paul Wiemann , Thomas Kneib

In this paper, we propose a scalable Bayesian method for sparse covariance matrix estimation by incorporating a continuous shrinkage prior with a screening procedure. In the first step of the procedure, the off-diagonal elements with small…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Kyoungjae Lee , Seongil Jo , Kyeongwon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models but, at the same time, introduce the restriction that each equation features the same set of explanatory variables. This paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-27 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Luca Onorante

Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

Sparse modeling has been widely and successfully used in many applications such as computer vision, machine learning, and pattern recognition. Accompanied with those applications, significant research has studied the theoretical limits and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Yuki Itoh , Marco F. Duarte , Mario Parente

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang