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In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

Returns distributions are heavy-tailed across asset classes. In this note, I examine the implications of this well-known stylized fact for the joint statistics of performance (absolute return) and Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return). Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-27 Matteo Smerlak

In real-world decision-making problems, for instance in the fields of finance, robotics or autonomous driving, keeping uncertainty under control is as important as maximizing expected returns. Risk aversion has been addressed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Lorenzo Bisi , Luca Sabbioni , Edoardo Vittori , Matteo Papini , Marcello Restelli

Adaptive populations such as those in financial markets and distributed control can be modeled by the Minority Game. We consider how their dynamics depends on the agents' initial preferences of strategies, when the agents use linear or…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 H. M. Yang , Y. S. Ting , K. Y. Michael Wong

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa

This paper describes an empirical study of shortfall optimization with Barra Extreme Risk. We compare minimum shortfall to minimum variance portfolios in the US, UK, and Japanese equity markets using Barra Style Factors (Value, Growth,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-02 Lisa R. Goldberg , Michael Y. Hayes , Ola Mahmoud

We hypothesize that portfolio sorts based on the V/P ratio generate excess returns and consist of companies that are undervalued for prolonged periods. Results, for the US market show that high V/P portfolios outperform low V/P portfolios…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-03 Ahmad Haboub , Aris Kartsaklas , Vasilis Sarafidis

Control of drawdown, that is, the control of the drops in wealth over time from peaks to subsequent lows, is of great concern from a risk management perspective. With this motivation in mind, the focal point of this paper is to address the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-20 Chung-Han Hsieh , B. Ross Barmish

We study the relation between serial correlation of financial returns and volatility at intraday level for the S&P500 stock index. At daily and weekly level, serial correlation and volatility are known to be negatively correlated (LeBaron…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Simone Bianco , Fulvio Corsi , Roberto Reno'

This paper examines the dividend and investment policies of a cash constrained firm that has access to costly external funding. We depart from the literature by allowing the firm to issue collateralized debt to increase its investment in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Erwan Pierre , Stéphane Villeneuve , Xavier Warin

The discrepancy between realized volatility and the market's view of volatility has been known to predict individual equity options at the monthly horizon. It is not clear how this predictability depends on a forecast's ability to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Austin Pollok

This paper examines customer momentum, defined as a positive relationship between a firm's returns and past returns of its customers. I confirm previous evidence (Cohen and Frazzini 2008) that customer momentum is both statistically and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-30 Mykola Pinchuk

Many natural and engineering systems involve the mixing of two fluid streams, in which the effects of density and viscosity gradients play important roles in determining flow stability. We perform linear stability calculations for a jet…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-08 Jinwei Yang , Vinod Srinivasan

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

Large deviations for fat tailed distributions, i.e. those that decay slower than exponential, are not only relatively likely, but they also occur in a rather peculiar way where a finite fraction of the whole sample deviation is concentrated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 Mario Filiasi , Giacomo Livan , Matteo Marsili , Maria Peressi , Erik Vesselli , Elia Zarinelli

We show that the cost of market orders and the profit of infinitesimal market-making or -taking strategies can be expressed in terms of directly observable quantities, namely the spread and the lag-dependent impact function. Imposing that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Matthieu Wyart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Julien Kockelkoren , Marc Potters , Michele Vettorazzo

We consider an optimal stochastic control problem in which a firm's cash/surplus process is controlled by dividend payments and capital injections. Stockholders aim to maximize their dividend stream minus the cost of injecting capital, if…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Jean-François Renaud , Alexandre Roch , Clarence Simard

The problem of the effects of compressibility and large-scale anisotropy on anomalous scaling behavior is considered for two models describing passive advection of scalar density and tracer fields. The advecting velocity field is Gaussian,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 N. V. Antonov , Juha Honkonen

This paper studies an optimal dividend problem for a company that aims to maximize the mean-variance (MV) objective of the accumulated discounted dividend payments up to its ruin time. The MV objective involves an integral form over a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Jingyi Cao , Dongchen Li , Virginia R. Young , Bin Zou

The coordinated and efficient distribution of limited resources by individual decisions is a fundamental, unsolved problem. When individuals compete for road capacities, time, space, money, goods, etc., they normally make decisions based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Dirk Helbing , Martin Schoenhof , Daniel Kern
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