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We propose a Bayesian propensity score-augmented latent factor model for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data. The framework explicitly models the treatment assignment mechanism by incorporating latent factor loadings,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Licheng Liu

Prior sensitivity analysis is a fundamental method to check the effects of prior distributions on the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Exploring the posteriors under several alternative priors can be computationally intensive,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Measuring dependence between random variables is a fundamental problem in Statistics, with applications across diverse fields. While classical measures such as Pearson's correlation have been widely used for over a century, they have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

Conformal predictors, introduced by Vovk et al. (2005), serve to build prediction intervals by exploiting a notion of conformity of the new data point with previously observed data. In the present paper, we propose a novel method for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-12 Mohamed Hebiri

\citet{Rosenbaum83ps} introduced the notion of the propensity score and discussed its central role in causal inference with observational studies. Their paper, however, caused a fundamental incoherence with an early paper by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Peng Ding , Tianyu Guo

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah

Robust Bayesian analysis has been mainly devoted to detecting and measuring robustness w.r.t. the prior distribution. Many contributions in the literature aim to define suitable classes of priors which allow the computation of variations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Antonio Di Noia , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Antonietta Mira

The difficulties of detecting association, measuring correlation, and establishing cause and effect have fascinated mankind since time immemorial. Democritus, the Greek philosopher, underscored well the importance and the difficulty of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-09-20 Donald St. P. Richards

Gaussian graphical model is one of the powerful tools to analyze conditional independence between two variables for multivariate Gaussian-distributed observations. When the dimension of data is moderate or high, penalized likelihood methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

Inference on high-dimensional parameters in structured linear models is an important statistical problem. This paper focuses on the case of a piecewise polynomial Gaussian sequence model, and we develop a new empirical Bayes solution that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Chang Liu , Ryan Martin , Weining Shen

The objective Bayesian treatment of a model representing two independent Poisson processes, labelled as "signal" and "background" and both contributing additively to the total number of counted events, is considered. It is shown that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-04-16 Diego Casadei

In variable selection, most existing screening methods focus on marginal effects and ignore dependence between covariates. To improve the performance of selection, we incorporate pairwise effects in covariates for screening and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Siliang Gong , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Repeated measures analyses require proper choice of the correlation model to ensure accurate inference and optimal efficiency. The linear exponent autoregressive (LEAR) correlation model provides a flexible two-parameter correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-27 Sean L. Simpson , Min Zhu , Keith E. Muller

Several performance measures are used to evaluate binary and multiclass classification tasks. But individual observations may often have distinct weights, and none of these measures are sensitive to such varying weights. We propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Rommel Cortez , Bala Krishnamoorthy

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence of nonparametric binary and Poisson regression under possible model misspecification, assuming general stochastic process prior with appropriate properties. Our model setup and objective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

This work considers variational Bayesian inference as an inexpensive and scalable alternative to a fully Bayesian approach in the context of sparsity-promoting priors. In particular, the priors considered arise from scale mixtures of Normal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-01 Kody J. H. Law , Vitaly Zankin

Sparsity-promoting priors have become increasingly popular over recent years due to an increased number of regression and classification applications involving a large number of predictors. In time series applications where observations are…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-02 François Caron , Luke Bornn , Arnaud Doucet

Recently, the first author proposed a measure to calculate Pearson correlations for node values expressed in a network, by taking into account distances or metrics defined on the network. In this technical note, we show that using an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Michele Coscia , Karel Devriendt

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song