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Related papers: Viable Control of an Epidemiological Model

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In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) method for real-time intervention of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfire, over large-scale networks. The goal is to allocate budgeted resources each time step to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Ruigang Wang , Armaghan Zafar , Ian R. Manchester

An ordinary differential model is proposed to understand the role of egg quiescence on the efficacy of releasing Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes to control arbovirus transmission. The model admits up to five equilibrium points and four…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-17 Luís E. S. Lopes , Cláudia P. Ferreira

Dengue fever is increasing in geographical range, spread by invasion of its vector mosquitoes. The trade in second-hand tires has been implicated as a factor in this process as they act as mobile reservoirs of mosquito eggs and larvae.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Emilene Pliego Pliego , Jorge Velázquez-Castro , Markus P. Eichhorn , Andrés Fraguela Collar

We review the optimal control of systems modeling the dynamics of tuberculosis. Time dependent control functions are introduced in the mathematical models, representing strategies for the improvement of the treatment and cure of active…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

The control of the spread of dengue fever by introduction of the intracellular parasitic bacterium Wolbachia in populations of the vector Aedes aegypti, is presently one of the most promising tools for eliminating dengue, in the absence of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-02 Pierre-Alexandre J. Bliman , M. Soledad Aronna , Flávio C. Coelho , Moacyr A. H. B. da Silva

In this paper we make the first steps to bridge the gap between classic control theory and modern, network-based epidemic models. In particular, we apply nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) to a pairwise ODE model which we use to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Fanni Sélley , Ádám Besenyei , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

Mosquito-borne diseases remain a major public-health threat, and the effective control of mosquito populations requires sustained household participation in removing breeding sites. While environmental drivers of mosquito oscillations have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Mohammad Rubayet Rahman , Chanaka Kottegoda , Lucas M. Stolerman

A model based on a thermodynamic approach is proposed for predicting the dynamics of communicable epidemics in a city, when the epidemic is governed by controlling efforts of multiple scales so that an entropy is associated with the system.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2013-10-01 W. B. Wang , Z. N. Wu , Z. M. Cao , R. F. Hu

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

To mitigate the impact of the pandemic, several measures include lockdowns, rapid vaccination programs, school closures, and economic stimulus. These interventions can have positive or unintended negative consequences. Current research to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Gaurav Deshkar , Jayanta Kshirsagar , Harshal Hayatnagarkar , Janani Venugopalan

We present an epidemiological model for vector-borne diseases that includes within-host viral load and antibody dynamics using structured transport equations. By incorporating the internal dynamics into the infected and recovered host…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Paulo Amorim , Maria Soledad Aronna , Debora de Oliveira Medeiros

The current manuscript introduce a single-strain dengue model developed from stochastic processes incorporating fractional order transmission and recovery. The fractional derivative has been introduced within the context of transmission and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Tahajuddin Sk , Kaushik Bal , Santosh Biswas , Tridip Sardar

We introduce a stochastic household model for vector-borne diseases, in particular as relevant to prominent vectors belonging to the Aedes genus and hence the Zika, chikungunya, and dengue viruses. In this model, vectors remain local to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Andrew Black , Andrew Smith , Alun Lloyd , Joshua Ross

Dengue is a mosquito-borne disease that threatens more than half of the world's population. Despite being endemic to over 100 countries, government-led efforts and mechanisms to timely identify and track the emergence of new infections are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-09 Shihao Yang , S. C. Kou , Fred Lu , John S. Brownstein , Nicholas Brooke , Mauricio Santillana

In this paper, we investigate the problem of designing event-triggered controllers for containing epidemic processes in complex networks. We focus on a deterministic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model, which is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Kazumune Hashimoto , Yuga Onoue , Masaki Ogura , Toshimitsu Ushio

In the last two decades dengue cases increased significantly throughout the world. In several regions dengue re-emerged, particularly in Latin America, where dengue cases not only increased but also occurred more frequently. It is therefore…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-12 Javier Armando Gutierrez , Karina Laneri , Juan Pablo Aparicio , Gustavo Javier Sibona

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in temporal and adaptive networks. Building on the activity-driven network model, we propose an adaptive model of epidemic processes, where the network topology…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado , Naoki Masuda

In this paper, we develop a robust economic model predictive controller for the containment of stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Vigilant (SEIV) epidemic processes which drives the process to extinction quickly, while minimizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted to humans by vectors of genus Aedes and is a global threat with health, social, and economic impact in many of the tropical countries including Sri Lanka. The virus transmission is significantly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-22 Piumi Chathurangika , Sanjeewa Perera , Kushani De Silva

We propose and analyze a new class of controlled multi-type branching processes with a per-step linear resource constraint, motivated by potential applications in viral marketing and cancer treatment. We show that the optimal exponential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Shie Mannor , Kuang Xu
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