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Highly-diverse ecosystems exhibit a broad distribution of population sizes and species turnover, where species at high and low abundances are exchanged over time. We show that these two features generically emerge in the fluctuating phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

Phylogenetic trees represent the evolutionary relationships between extant lineages, where extinct or non-sampled lineages are omitted. Extending the work of Stadler and collaborators, this paper focuses on the branch lengths in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-16 Tobias Dieselhorst , Johannes Berg

The last decade has witnessed a growing interest in random forest models which are recognized to exhibit good practical performance, especially in high-dimensional settings. On the theoretical side, however, their predictive power remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Erwan Scornet

Mutations can arise from the chance misincorporation of nucleotides during DNA replication or from DNA lesions that are not repaired correctly. We introduce a model that relates the source of mutations to their accumulation with cell…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-27 Ziyue Gao , Minyoung J. Wyman , Guy Sella , Molly Przeworski

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

In large asexual populations, multiple beneficial mutations arise in the population, compete, interfere with each other, and accumulate on the same genome, before any of them fix. The resulting dynamics, although studied by many authors, is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Daniel S. Fisher

We study a model of a branching process subject to selection, modeled by giving each family an individual fitness acting as a branching rate, and mutation, modeled by resampling the fitness of a proportion of offspring in each generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Peter Mörters

We study a simple model of DNA evolution in a growing population of cells. Each cell contains a nucleotide sequence which randomly mutates at cell division. Cells divide according to a branching process. Following typical parameter values…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

Large sets of genotypes give rise to the same phenotype because phenotypic expression is highly redundant. Accordingly, a population can accept mutations without altering its phenotype, as long as thegenotype mutates into another one on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-18 Susanna Manrubia , José A. Cuesta

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of random forests within the framework of nonlinear time series modeling. While random forests have been successfully applied in various fields, the theoretical justification has not been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel S. Nielsen

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

Many biological populations exhibit diversity in their strategy for survival and reproduction in a given environment, and microbes are an example. We explore the fate of different strategies under sustained environmental change by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Ruixi Huang , David Waxman

Clusters appear in nature in a diversity of contexts, involving distances as long as the cosmological ones, and down to atoms and molecules and the very small nuclear size. They also appear in several other scenarios, in particular in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-19 D. Bazeia , M. V. de Moraes , B. F. de Oliveira

We consider a class of density-dependent branching processes which generalises exponential, logistic and Gompertz growth. A population begins with a single individual, grows exponentially initially, and then growth may slow down as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-11 David Cheek

Mutations are typically classified by their effects on the nucleotide sequence and by their size. Here, we argue that if our main aim is to understand the effect of mutations on evolutionary outcomes (such as adaptation or speciation), we…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-30 Emma L. Berdan , Alexandre Blanckaert , Tanja Slotte , Alexander Suh , Anja M. Westram , Inês Fragata

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

The classes of tree permutations and forest permutations were defined by Acan and Hitczenko (2016). We study random permutations of a given length from these classes, and in particular the number of occurrences of a fixed pattern in one of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Svante Janson

Which factors govern the evolution of mutation rates and emergence of species? Here, we address this question using a first principles model of life where population dynamics of asexual organisms is coupled to molecular properties and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Muyoung Heo , Louis Kang , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We present an individual based model of evolutionary ecology. The reproduction rate of individuals characterized by their genome depends on the composition of the population in genotype space. Ecological features such as the taxonomy and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Matt Hall , Kim Christensen , Simone A. di Collobiano , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen