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We consider renewal processes where events, which can for instance be the zero crossings of a stochastic process, occur at random epochs of time. The intervals of time between events, $\tau_{1},\tau_{2},...$, are independent and identically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-20 Claude Godreche , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Optimization of decision problems in stochastic environments is usually concerned with maximizing the probability of achieving the goal and minimizing the expected episode length. For interacting agents in time-critical applications,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Balint Takacs , Istvan Szita , Andras Lorincz

We analyze extensions of the Poisson process in which any interarrival time that exceeds a fixed value $r$ is counted as an interarrival of duration $r$. In the engineering application that initiated this work, one part is tested at a time,…

Bell inequality violations can be used to certify private randomness for use in cryptographic applications. In photonic Bell experiments, a large amount of the data that is generated comes from no-detection events and presumably contains…

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

In this paper, which is a continuation of the previously published discrete time paper we develop a theory for continuous time stochastic control problems which, in various ways, are time inconsistent in the sense that they do not admit a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Tomas Björk , Mariana Khapko , Agatha Murgoci

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity against a composite one-sided parametric alternative that this is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

In this paper, we discuss the convergence rate of empirical processes of Gaussian processes for a large class of function families. Our main goal is to show that the tail of the uniform norm of the empirical processes can be dominated by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Wen Huo , Yasutaka Shimizu

Reachability questions are one of the most fundamental algorithmic primitives in temporal graphs -- graphs whose edge set changes over discrete time steps. A core problem here is the NP-hard Short Restless Temporal Path: given a temporal…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Philipp Zschoche

We derive confidence intervals and confidence sequences for causal effects in situations where the back-door or front-door criteria are applicable. Our tightest confidence intervals hold in the standard setting where the training data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

Optimal stopping problems give rise to random distributions describing how many applicants the decision-maker will sample or interview before choosing one, a quantity sometimes referred to as the search time or process duration. This…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-13 Simon Demers

We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-12 Rick Bebon , Aljaž Godec

Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We consider a single-server GI/GI/1 queueing system with feedback. We assume the service times distribution to be (intermediate) regularly varying. We find the tail asymptotics for a customer's sojourn time in two regimes: the customer…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Sergey Foss , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We study how to identify a class of continuous-time nonlinear systems defined by an ordinary differential equation affine in the unknown parameter. We define a notion of asymptotic consistency as $(n, h) \to (\infty, 0)$, and we achieve it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Original paper: We revisit the probability that any two consecutive events in a Poisson process N on [0,t] are separated by a time interval which is greater than s(<t) (a particular scan statistic probability), and the closely related…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-05 Shai Covo

A wide class of non-autonomous nonlinear parabolic partial differential equations with delay is studied. We allow in our investigations different types of delays such as constant, time-dependent, state-dependent (both discrete and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-04-07 A. V. Rezounenko

We consider a response system that updates its internal state in accordance with information input arriving from outside. In this paper, we define as internal time the ``number of kinds'' of codes that have been observed at least once up to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Tatsuaki Tsuruyama

We propose a family of models that enable predictive estimation of time-varying extreme event probabilities in heavy-tailed and nonlinearly dependent time series. The models are a white noise process with conditionally log-Laplace…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Gordon V. Chavez
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