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Analysing age-specific mortality, fertility, and migration patterns is a crucial task in demography with significant policy relevance. In practice, such analysis is challenging when studying a large number of subpopulations, due to small…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-29 Gregor Zens

Understanding the influence of an environment on the evolution of its resident population is a major challenge in evolutionary biology. Great progress has been made in homogeneous population structures while heterogeneous structures have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-30 Wes Maciejewski , Gregory J. Puleo

In 2012 the world's population exceeded 7 billion, and since 2008 the number of individuals living in urban areas has surpassed that of rural areas. This is the result of an overall increase of life expectancy in many countries that has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-14 Filippo Simini , Charlotte James

We perform stochastic microsimulations of the dynamics of England and Wales population after the British referendum on EU membership, considering different possible outcomes. Employing available survey data, we model the demographics of the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Agnieszka Werpachowska , Roman Werpachowski

Fine population distribution both in space and in time is crucial for epidemic management, disaster prevention,urban planning and more. Human mobility data have a great potential for mapping population distribution at a high level of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Xiang Liu , Philo Pöllmann

We study two models of population with migration. We assume that we are given infinitely many islands with the same number r of resources, each individual consuming one unit of resources. On an island lives an individual whose genealogy is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-27 Raoul Normand

Using a lattice model based on Monte Carlo simulations, we study the role of the reproduction pattern on the fate of an evolving population. Each individual is under the selection pressure from the environment and random mutations. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Mingfeng He , Hongbo Ruan , Changliang Yu , Lei Yao

Data describing the growth of the world population in the past 12,000 years are analysed. It is shown that, if unchecked, population does not increase exponentially but hyperbolically. This analysis reveals three approximately-determined…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-21 Ron W. Nielsen

The link between age and migration propensity is long established, but existing models of country-level net migration ignore the effect of population age distribution on past and projected migration rates. We propose a method to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Nathan G. Welch , Hana Ševčíková , Adrian E. Raftery

Migration plays a crucial role in urban growth. Over time, individuals opting to relocate led to vast metropolises like London and Paris during the Industrial Revolution, Shanghai and Karachi during the last decades and thousands of smaller…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Rafael Prieto-Curiel , Carmen Cabrera-Arnau

When predicting the fate and consequences of recurring deleterious mutations in self-fertilising populations most models developed make the assumption that populations have discrete non-overlapping generations. This makes them biologically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-22 Diala Abu Awad , Viet-Chi Tran , Sylvain Billiard

Environmental changes greatly influence the evolution of populations. Here, we study the dynamics of a population of two strains, one growing slightly faster than the other, competing for resources in a time-varying binary environment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ami Taitelbaum , Robert West , Michael Assaf , Mauro Mobilia

We find that the hypothesis made by Jan, Stauffer and Moseley [Theory in Biosc., 119, 166 (2000)] for the evolution of sex, namely a strategy devised to escape extinction due to too many deleterious mutations, is sufficient but not…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Erkan Tuzel , Volkan Sevim , Ayse Erzan

Published evidence for the human-mediated extinction of megafauna is examined and is found to be unsubstantiated. It is shown that the claimed evidence is not based on data describing the growth of human population but on the fabricated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-16 Ron W Nielsen

While Neutral Theory famously describes the number of discrete genetic differences in populations, we consider the number of genetic backgrounds under which such differences are observed - setting limits to the generalizability of their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-21 Andre F. Ribeiro

By the use of Perron-Frobenius theory, simple proofs are given of the Fundamental Theorem of Demography and of a theorem of Cushing and Yicang on the net reproductive rate occurring in matrix models of population dynamics. The latter result…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Chi-Kwong Li , Hans Schneider

This article is concerned with the existence of a weak solution to the initial boundary problem for a cross-diffusion system which arises in the study of two cell population growth. The mathematical challenge is due to the fact that the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Brock C. Price , Xiangsheng Xu

We propose a method for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration rates for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-29 Jonathan J. Azose , Adrian E. Raftery

The paper titled ''Global gridded population datasets systematically underrepresent rural population'' by Josias L\'ang-Ritter et al. provides a valuable contribution to the discourse on the accuracy of global population datasets,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-11 Till Koebe , Emmanuel Letouzé , Tuba Bircan , Édith Darin , Douglas R. Leasure , Valentina Rotondi

Recently, there have been considerable efforts to use online data to investigate international migration. These efforts show that Web data are valuable for estimating migration rates and are relatively easy to obtain. However, existing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Johnnatan Messias , Fabricio Benevenuto , Ingmar Weber , Emilio Zagheni