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Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

Let X be the mild solution to a semilinear stochastic partial differential equation. In this article, we develop methodology to sample from the infinite-dimensional diffusion bridge that arises from conditioning X on a linear transformation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Thorben Pieper-Sethmacher , Frank van der Meulen , Aad van der Vaart

The question of whether biological populations survive or are eventually driven to extinction has long been examined using mathematical models. In this work we study population survival or extinction using a stochastic, discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yifei Li , Stuart T. Johnston , Pascal R. Buenzli , Peter van Heijster , Matthew J. Simpson

We consider a non-Gaussian stochastic process where a particle diffuses in the $y$-direction, $dy/dt=\eta(t)$, subject to a transverse shear flow in the $x$-direction, $dx/dt=f(y)$. Absorption with probability $p$ occurs at each crossing of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar

The fraction r(t) of spins which have never flipped up to time t is studied within a linear diffusion approximation to phase ordering. Numerical simulations show that, even in this simple context, r(t) decays with time like a power-law with…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Bernard Derrida , Vincent Hakim , Reuven Zeitak

Aggregations are emergent features common to many biological systems. Mathematical models to understand their emergence are consequently widespread, with the aggregation-diffusion equation being a prime example. Here we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Jonathan R. Potts , Kevin J. Painter

In the long run, the eventual extinction of any biological population is an inevitable outcome. While extensive research has focused on the average time it takes for a population to go extinct under various circumstances, there has been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-18 David Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

We discuss the combined effects of overdamped motion in a quenched random potential and diffusion, in one dimension, in the limit where the diffusion coefficient is small. Our analysis considers the statistics of the mean first-passage time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-19 Michael Wilkinson , Marc Pradas , Gerhard Kling

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t), \; t>0,$ in the three-dimensional Euclidean space $\Bbb R^3$ with constant finite speed $c>0$ and the uniform choice of the initial and each new direction at random time instants that form a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Alexander D. Kolesnik

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

On a smooth bounded Euclidean domain, Sobolev-subcritical fast diffusion with vanishing boundary trace is known to lead to finite-time extinction, with a vanishing profile selected by the initial datum. In rescaled variables, we quantify…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Beomjun Choi , Robert J. McCann , Christian Seis

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

In this paper we consider diffusions on the half line (0, $\infty$) such that the expectation of the arrival time at the origin is uniformly bounded in the initial point. This implies that there is a well defined diffusion process starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Vincent Bansaye , Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

This paper deals with extinction of an isolated population caused by intrinsic noise. We model the population dynamics in a "refuge" as a Markov process which involves births and deaths on discrete lattice sites and random migrations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We propose and analyze a one-dimensional multi-species cross-diffusion system with non-zero-flux boundary conditions on a moving domain, motivated by the mod- eling of a Physical Vapor Deposition process. Using the boundedness by entropy…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Athmane Bakhta , Virginie Ehrlacher

We consider a particle diffusing in the y-direction, dy/dt=\eta(t), subject to a transverse shear flow in the x-direction, dx/dt=f(y), where x \ge 0 and x=0 is an absorbing boundary. We treat the class of models defined by f(y) = \pm…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Alan J. Bray , Panos Gonos

We study the Brownian motion of a classical particle in one-dimensional inhomogeneous environments where the transition probabilities follow quasiperiodic or aperiodic distributions. Exploiting an exact correspondence with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 F. Igloi , L. Turban , H. Rieger

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

We analyze the influence of long-range correlated (colored) external noise on extinction phase transitions in growth and spreading processes. Uncorrelated environmental noise (i.e., temporal disorder) was recently shown to give rise to an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Alexander H. O. Wada , Matthew Small , Thomas Vojta
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