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A novel model of intermittency is presented in which the dynamics of the rates of energy transfer between successive steps in the energy cascade is described by a hierarchy of stochastic differential equations. The probability distribution…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-10-27 Domingos S. P. Salazar , Giovani L. Vasconcelos

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We propose a variational method to solve all three estimation problems for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems: prediction, filtering, and smoothing. Our new approach is based upon a proper choice of cost function, termed the {\it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Gregory L. Eyink

The diversity of diffusive systems exhibiting long-range correlations characterized by a stochastically varying Hurst exponent calls for a generic multifractional model. We present a simple, analytically tractable model which fills the gap…

Ordinary differential equations are arguably the most popular and useful mathematical tool for describing physical and biological processes in the real world. Often, these physical and biological processes are observed with errors, in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Sarat C. Dass , Jaeyong Lee , Kyoungjae Lee , Jonghun Park

Perturbation experiments are carried out by contact process and its mean-field version. Here, the mortality rate is increased or decreased suddenly. It is known that the fluctuation enhancement (FE) occurs after the perturbation, where FE…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-20 Satoru Morita , Kei-ichi Tainaka , Hiroyasu Nagata , Jin Yoshimura

This work presents a new methodology to obtain probabilistic interval predictions of a dynamical system. The proposed strategy uses stored past system measurements to estimate the future evolution of the system. The method relies on the use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 A. Daniel Carnerero , Daniel R. Ramirez , Teodoro Alamo

We propose an algorithm for approximating the solution of a strongly oscillating SDE, that is, a system in which some ergodic state variables evolve quickly with respect to the other variables. The algorithm profits from homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Camilo Andrés García Trillos

Eulerian-Lagrangian models of particle-laden (multiphase) flows describe fluid flow and particle dynamics in the Eulerian and Lagrangian frameworks respectively. Regardless of whether the flow is turbulent or laminar, the particle dynamics…

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

Stochastic processes are proposed whose master equations coincide with classical wave, telegraph, and Klein-Gordon equations. Similar to predecessors based on the Goldstein-Kac telegraph process, the model describes the motion of particles…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. V. Plyukhin

In this work we approach cell migration under a large-scale assumption, so that the system reduces to a particle in motion. Unlike classical particle models, the cell displacement results from its internal activity: the cell velocity is a…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-02 Christèle Etchegaray , Nicolas Meunier

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

We introduce and study a variational framework for the analysis of empirical risk based inference for dynamical systems and ergodic processes. The analysis applies to a two-stage estimation procedure in which (i) the trajectory of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

A practical and accessible introduction to most probable phase portraits is given. The reader is assumed to be familiar with stochastic differential equations and Euler-Maruyama method in numerical simulation. The article first introduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Bing Yang , Zhu Zeng , Ling Wang

The fate of small particles in turbulent flows depends strongly on the surrounding fluid's velocity gradient properties such as rotation and strain-rates. For non-inertial (fluid) particles, the Restricted Euler model provides a simple,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-05 Perry L. Johnson , Charles Meneveau

Stochastic parametrisations of the interactions among disparate scales of motion in fluid convection are often used for estimating prediction uncertainty, which can arise due to inadequate model resolution, or incomplete observations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-14 Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

Modeling dispersed solid phases in fluids still represents a computational challenge when considering a small-scale coupling in wide systems, such as the atmosphere or industrial processes at high Reynolds numbers. A numerical method is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-08-13 François Laenen , Giorgio Krstulovic , Jérémie Bec

It is nowadays well understood that the multidimensional isentropic Euler system is desperately ill--posed. Even certain smooth initial data give rise to infinitely many solutions and all available selection criteria fail to ensure both…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dominic Breit , Eduard Feireisl , Martina Hofmanova