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Transfer Learning aims to optimally aggregate samples from a target distribution, with related samples from a so-called source distribution to improve target risk. Multiple procedures have been proposed over the last two decades to address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-29 Steve Hanneke , Samory Kpotufe

Bayesian model selection is premised on the assumption that the data are generated from one of the postulated models. However, in many applications, all of these models are incorrect (that is, there is misspecification). When the models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Jonathan H. Huggins , Jeffrey W. Miller

In this paper, we propose an analytical method for performing tractable approximate Gaussian inference (TAGI) in Bayesian neural networks. The method enables the analytical Gaussian inference of the posterior mean vector and diagonal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 James-A. Goulet , Luong Ha Nguyen , Saeid Amiri

Poisson distributed measurements in inverse problems often stem from Poisson point processes that are observed through discretized or finite-resolution detectors, one of the most prominent examples being positron emission tomography (PET).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Marco Mauritz , Benedikt Wirth

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We present an optimal transport framework for performing regression when both the covariate and the response are probability distributions on a compact Euclidean subset $\Omega\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, where $d>1$. Extending beyond compactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

An efficient method for finding a better maximizer of computationally extensive probability distributions is proposed on the basis of a Bayesian optimization technique. A key idea of the proposed method is to use extreme values of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-14 Ryo Tamura , Koji Hukushima

Conventional inverse optimization inputs a solution and finds the parameters of an optimization model that render a given solution optimal. The literature mostly focuses on inferring the objective function in linear problems when accepted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Houra Mahmoudzadeh , Kimia Ghobadi

In the field of decision trees, most previous studies have difficulty ensuring the statistical optimality of a prediction of new data and suffer from overfitting because trees are usually used only to represent prediction functions to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Naoki Ichijo , Koki Kazama , Toshiyasu Matsushima

The goal of this paper is to settle the study of non-commutative optimal transport problems with convex regularization, in their static and finite-dimensional formulations. We consider both the balanced and unbalanced problem and show in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-27 Emanuele Caputo , Augusto Gerolin , Nataliia Monina , Lorenzo Portinale

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

Non-linear Trajectory Optimisation (TO) methods require good initial guesses to converge to a locally optimal solution. A feasible guess can often be obtained by allocating a large amount of time for the trajectory to complete. However for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Steve Tonneau

We research relations between optimal transport theory (OTT) and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) possibly connected to relevant metrics defined on probability measures. Those of ABC are computational methods based on Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Marco Tarsia , Antonietta Mira , Daniele Cassani

Several scenarios require the optimization of non-convex black-box functions, that are noisy expensive to evaluate functions with unknown analytical expression, whose gradients are hence not accessible. For example, the hyper-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

We consider optimal transport based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with locally strongly convex transport cost functions and affine decision rules. Under conventional convexity assumptions on the underlying loss…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Fan Zhang

The Bayesian inversion method demonstrates significant potential for solving inverse problems, enabling both point estimation and uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation may become unstable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ruibiao Song , Liying Zhang

We take steps towards causally interpretable meta-analysis by describing methods for transporting causal inferences from a collection of randomized trials to a new target population, one-trial-at-a-time and pooling all trials. We discuss…

Testing of hypotheses is a well studied topic in mathematical statistics. Recently, this issue has also been addressed in the context of Inverse Problems, where the quantity of interest is not directly accessible but only after the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Remo Kretschmann , Daniel Wachsmuth , Frank Werner

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

A systematic approach to finding variational approximation in an otherwise intractable non-conjugate model is to exploit the general principle of convex duality by minorizing the marginal likelihood that renders the problem tractable. While…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Indrajit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati