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We construct a fast exact algorithm for the simulation of the first-passage time, jointly with the undershoot and overshoot, of a tempered stable subordinator over an arbitrary non-increasing absolutely continuous function. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Feng Lin , Aleksandar Mijatović

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

We investigate smooth approximations of functions, with prescribed gradient behavior on a distinguished stratified subset of the domain. As an application, we outline how our results yield important consequences for a recently introduced…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-07-21 D. Drusvyatskiy , M. Larsson

We consider a discrete time analog of $G$--expectations and we prove that in the case where the time step goes to 0 the corresponding values converge to the original $G$--expectation. Furthermore we provide error estimates for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Yan Dolinsky

In the paper we provide measure estimates for the set of numbers whose sequence of products of continued fraction partial quotients $M_n = a_1 \ldots a_n$ has exponential growth with rate close to the one predicted by Khintchine's theorem,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-04 Piotr Kamieński

We obtain sharp sufficient conditions for exponentially integrable stochastic processes $X=\{X(t)\!\!: t\in [0,1]\}$, to have sample paths with bounded $\Phi$-variation. When $X$ is moreover Gaussian, we also provide a bound of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Michel Weber

The steady state of the Fokker-Planck equation corresponding to a density dependent one-step process is approximated by a suitable normal distribution. Starting from the master equations of the process, written in terms of the time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Peter L. Simon , Eszter Sikolya

We study critera for a pair $ (\{ X_n \} $, $ \{ Y_n \}) $ of approximating processes which guarantee closeness of moments by generalizing known results for the special case that $ Y_n = Y $ for all $n$ and $ X_n $ converges to $Y$ in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

We prove exponential convergence to the stationary measure for a class of 1d Lagrangian systems with random forcing in the space-periodic setting: $$ \phi_t+\phi_x^2/2=F^{\omega}, x \in S^1 = \mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}. $$ This confirms a part…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-05 Alexandre Boritchev

In this article we develop a method for the strong approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by L\'evy processes or general semimartingales. The main ingredients of our method is the perturbation of the SDE and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Antonis Papapantoleon , Maria Siopacha

The raking-ratio method is a statistical and computational method which adjusts the empirical measure to match the true probability of sets of a finite partition. We study the asymptotic behavior of the raking-ratio empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Mickael Albertus

We present a framework for inference for spatial processes that have actual values imperfectly represented by data. Environmental processes represented as spatial fields, either at fixed time points, or aggregated over fixed time periods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Benjamin D. Youngman , David B. Stephenson

The analysis of computer models can be aided by the construction of surrogate models, or emulators, that statistically model the numerical computer model. Increasingly, computer models are becoming stochastic, yielding different outputs…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

To deal with very large datasets a mini-batch version of the Monte Carlo Markov Chain Stochastic Approximation Expectation-Maximization algorithm for general latent variable models is proposed. For exponential models the algorithm is shown…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-30 Tabea Rebafka , Estelle Kuhn , Catherine Matias

Process-oriented theories of cognition must be evaluated against time-ordered observations. Here we present a representative example for data assimilation of the SWIFT model, a dynamical model of the control of spatial fixation position and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-23 Stefan A. Seelig , Maximilian M. Rabe , Noa Malem-Shinitski , Sarah Risse , Sebastian Reich , Ralf Engbert

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

Considering stochastic partial differential equations of parabolic type with random coefficients in vector-valued H\"older spaces, we obtain a sharp Schauder estimate. As an application, the existence and uniqueness of solution to the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Kai Du , Jiakun Liu

In this paper, we derive the exact rate of convergence of some approximation schemes associated to scalar stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Neuenkirch , Ivan Nourdin