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We consider local martingales which are standard or stochastic exponentials M of one component X of a multivariate affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer (2003). By completing their characterization of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-06 Eberhard Mayerhofer , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Alexander G. Smirnov

A continuous-time particle system on the real line satisfying the branching property and an exponential integrability condition is called a branching L\'evy process, and its law is characterized by a triplet $(\sigma^2,a,\Lambda)$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Bastien Mallein , Quan Shi

We present statistical tests for the continuous martingale hypothesis. That is, whether an observed process is a continuous local martingale, or equivalently a continuous time-changed Brownian motion. Our technique is based on the concept…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-30 Owen D. Jones , David A. Rolls

In this paper, we first investigate the estimation of the empirical joint Laplace transform of volatilities of two semi-martingales within a fixed time interval [0, T] by using overlapped increments of high-frequency data. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-05 XinWei Feng , Yu Jiang , Zhi Liu , Zhe Meng

Let $\psi$ be a multi-dimensional random variable. We show that the set of probability measures $\mathbb{Q}$ such that the $\mathbb{Q}$-martingale $S^{\mathbb{Q}}_t=\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}\left[\psi\lvert\mathcal{F}_{t}\right]$ has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Dmitry Kramkov , Sergio Pulido

We give sufficient criteria for the Dol\'eans-Dade exponential of a stochastic integral with respect to a counting process local martingale to be a true martingale. The criteria are adapted particularly to the case of counting processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Alexander Sokol , Niels Richard Hansen

We develop a pseudo-metric analogue of bisimulation for generalized semi-Markov processes. The kernel of this pseudo-metric corresponds to bisimulation; thus we have extended bisimulation for continuous-time probabilistic processes to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Vineet Gupta , Radha Jagadeesan , Prakash Panangaden

In exponential semi-martingale setting for risky asset we estimate the difference of prices of options when initial physical measure $P$ and corresponding martingale measure $Q$ change to $\tilde{P}$ and $\tilde{Q}$ respectively. Then, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-14 L. Vostrikova

We introduce a general methodology for quantitative model checking and control synthesis with supermartingale certificates. We show that every specification that is invariant to time shifts admits a stochastic invariant that bounds its…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Alessandro Abate , Mirco Giacobbe , Diptarko Roy

We present a short and self-contained proof of the following result: a random time is an honest time that avoids all stopping times if and only if it coincides with the (last) time of maximum of a nonnegative local martingale with zero…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-20 Constantinos Kardaras

An infinite system of point particles placed in $\mathds{R}^d$ is studied. The particles are of two types; they perform random walks in the course of which those of distinct types repel each other. The interaction of this kind induces an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Yuri Kozitsky , Michael Röckner

Let $A$ be a pseudo-differential operator with negative definite symbol $q$. In this paper we establish a sufficient condition such that the well-posedness of the $(A,C_c^{\infty}(\mathbb{R}^d))$-martingale problem implies that the unique…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Franziska Kühn

We study representations of a random variable $\xi$ as an integral of an adapted process with respect to the Lebesgue measure. The existence of such representations in two different regularity classes is characterized in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Sara Biagini , Gordan Zitkovic

The semimartingale stochastic approximation procedure, namely, the Robbins-Monro type SDE is introduced which naturally includes both generalized stochastic approximation algorithms with martingale noises and recursive parameter estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. Lazrieva , T. Sharia , T. Toronjadze

In this paper we survey the almost sure central limit theorem and its functional form (quenched) for stationary and ergodic processes. For additive functionals of a stationary and ergodic Markov chain these theorems are known under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Magda Peligrad

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Antoine Jacquier , Martin Keller-Ressel

We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jan Obłój

We study a continuous-time financial market with continuous price processes under model uncertainty, modeled via a family $\mathcal{P}$ of possible physical measures. A robust notion ${\rm NA}_{1}(\mathcal{P})$ of no-arbitrage of the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 Sara Biagini , Bruno Bouchard , Constantinos Kardaras , Marcel Nutz

Given a positive random variable $X$, $X\ge0$ a.s., a null hypothesis $H_0:E(X)\le\mu$ and a random sample of infinite size of $X$, we construct test supermartingales for $H_0$, i.e. positive processes that are supermartingale if the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Harrie Hendriks

In this paper we discuss existence and uniqueness for a one-dimensional time inhomogeneous stochastic differential equation directed by an $\mathbb{F}$-semimartingale $M$ and a finite cubic variation process $\xi$ which has the structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rosanna Coviello , Francesco Russo
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