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In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-29 Samuel Cohen , Shaolin Ji , Shige Peng

For a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $(S_n)_{n=0}^N$ we obtain criteria for the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, whose density $z$, up to a normalizing constant, is bounded from below by a given random variable $f$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-11 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Progressive quenching (PQ) is a stochastic process during which one fixes, one after another, the degrees of freedom of a globally coupled Ising spin system while letting it thermalize through a heat bath. It has previously been shown that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-18 Charles Moslonka , Ken Sekimoto

In this paper, martingales related to simple random walks and their maximum process are investigated. First, a sufficient condition under which a function with three arguments, time, the random walk, and its maximum process becomes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Takahiko Fujita , Shotaro Yagishita , Naohiro Yoshida

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Dörte Kreher

We prove a robust super-hedging duality result for path-dependent options on assets with jumps, in a continuous time setting. It requires that the collection of martingale measures is rich enough and that the payoff function satisfies some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

On a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{Q})$ we consider two filtrations $\mathbb{F}\subset \mathbb{G}$ and a $\mathbb{G}$ stopping time $\theta$ such that the $\mathbb{G}$ predictable processes coincide with $\mathbb{F}$…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-06 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song

We present simple new examples of pure-jump strict local martingales. The examples are constructed as exponentials of self-exciting affine Markov processes. We characterize the strict local martingale property of these processes by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-01 Martin Keller-Ressel

Generalizing earlier work of Delbaen and Haezendonck for given compound renewal process $S$ under a probability measure $P$ we characterize all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Nikolaos D. Macheras , Spyridon M. Tzaninis

We consider the decreasing and the increasing $r$-excessive functions $\varphi_r$ and $\psi_r$ that are associated with a one-dimensional conservative regular continuous strong Markov process $X$ with values in an interval with endpoints…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Mikhail Urusov , Mihail Zervos

The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Balazs Szekely , Tamas Szabados

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

In this article, we prove that the measures $\mathbb{Q}_T$ associated to the one-dimensional Edwards' model on the interval $[0,T]$ converge to a limit measure $\mathbb{Q}$ when $T$ goes to infinity, in the following sense: for all $s\geq0$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-25 Joseph Najnudel

We consider the pricing of derivatives in a setting with trading restrictions, but without any probabilistic assumptions on the underlying model, in discrete and continuous time. In particular, we assume that European put or call options…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Alexander M. G. Cox , Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

It is well-known that well-posedness of a martingale problem in the class of continuous (or r.c.l.l.) solutions enables one to construct the associated transition probability functions. We extend this result to the case when the martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Abhay G Bhatt , Rajeeva L Karandikar , B V Rao

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed Poisson process under a probability measure $P$, a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$, such that $P$ and $Q$ are progressively equivalent and $S$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Demetrios P. Lyberopoulos , Nikolaos D. Macheras

From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Michael J. Klass , Victor H. de la Pena