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In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

In this paper, we proposed a stochastic model which describes two species of particles moving in counterflow. The model generalizes the theoretical framework describing the transport in random systems since particles can work as mobile…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-08-09 Eduardo Velasco Stock , Roberto da Silva , Henrique Almeida Fernandes

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

The difference diffusion model with two equilibrium states is given by a stochastic equation with two components: the predicted one, which is determined by the regression function of increments with two equilibriums, and the stochastic one,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-11 D. Koroliouk , V. S. Koroliuk

Spatio-temporal extensions of familiar compartment models for disease transmission incorporating diffusive behavior, or interactions between individuals at separate locations, are explored. The models considered have the character of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Joseph Rudnick , David Jasnow , Jorge Vinals

The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model that includes a parameter $0\le p\le 1$ that assigns weights $p$ and $1- p$ to global and local infective contacts respectively. The model was…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-29 Gabriel Fabricius , Alberto Maltz

We generalize the diffusion-limited aggregation by issuing many randomly-walking particles, which stick to a cluster at the discrete time unit providing its growth. Using simple combinatorial arguments we determine probabilities of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Oleg Alekseev , Mark Mineev-Weinstein

This paper concerns the long term behaviour of a growth model describing a random sequential allocation of particles on a finite cycle graph. The model can be regarded as a reinforced urn model with graph-based interactions. It is motivated…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Marcelo Costa , Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov , Marina Vachkovskaia

Horizontal gene transfer consists in exchanging genetic materials between microorganisms during their lives. This is a major mechanism of bacterial evolution and is believed to be of main importance in antibiotics resistance. We consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Stochastic models of surface growth are usually based on randomly choosing a substrate site to perform iterative steps, as in the etching model [1]. In this paper I modify the etching model to perform sequential, instead of random,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-19 Bernardo A. Mello

These notes describe stochastic epidemics in a homogenous community. Our main concern is stochastic compartmental models (i.e. models where each individual belongs to a compartment, which stands for its status regarding the epidemic under…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Tom Britton , Etienne Pardoux

Among various possible causes of autoimmune disease, an important role is played by infections that can result in a breakdown of immune tolerance, primarily through the mechanism of "molecular mimicry". In this paper we propose and analyse…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-21 F. Fatehi , S. N. Kyrychko , A. Ross , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

We introduce an interacting particle system that models the spread of an epidemic in terms of heterogeneous diffusive dynamics, rather than exogenous contact and transmission rates at the population level as in classical compartmental…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Eliana Fausti , Andreas Sojmark

Two stochastic models are proposed to describe the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first model the population is partitioned into four compartments: susceptible $S$, infected $I$, removed $R$ and dead people $D$. In order to have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-16 Fabiana Calleri , Giovanni Nastasi , Vittorio Romano

We establish two open problems from Kesten and Sidoravicius [8]. Particles are initially placed on $\Z^{d}$ with a given density and evolve as independent continuous-time random walks. Particles initially placed at the origin are declared…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Rangel Baldasso , Alexandre Stauffer

We present a general approach to study a class of random growth models in $n$-dimensional Euclidean space. These models are designed to capture basic growth features which are expected to manifest at the mesoscopic level for several…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Amir Dembo , Pablo Groisman , Ruojun Huang , Vladas Sidoravicius

The theory for manifestation of stochastic appearance of embryos in the global decay of metastable phase has been constructed. The regime of droplets growth is supposed to be both free molecular one and diffusion one. The deviation for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Victor Kurasov

The aim of the paper is to describe two models of Covid-19 infection dynamics. For this purpose a special class of branching processes with two types of individuals is considered. These models are intended to use only the observed daily…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Nikolay M. Yanev , Vessela K. Stoimenova , Dimitar V. Atanasov

The paper examines stochastic diffusion within an expanding space-time framework. It starts with providing a rationale for the considered model and its motivation from cosmology where the expansion of space-time is used in modelling various…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Philip Broadbridge , Illia Donhauzer , Andriy Olenko

We consider a general class of Markovian models describing the growth in a randomly fluctuating environment of a clonal biological population having several phenotypes related by stochastic switching. Phenotypes differ e.g. by the level of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-25 J. Unterberger