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We propose a compartmental model for epidemiology wherein the population is split into groups with either comply or refuse to comply with protocols designed to slow the spread of a disease. Parallel to the disease spread, we assume that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

We study a large family of competing spatial growth models. In these the vertices in Z^d can take on three possible states {0,1,2}. Vertices in states 1 and 2 remain in their states forever, while vertices in state 0 which are adjacent to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christopher Hoffman

We study a random growth model on $\R^d$ introduced by Deijfen. This is a continuous first-passage percolation model. The growth occurs by means of spherical outbursts with random radii in the infected region. We aim at finding conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Jean-Baptiste Gouere , Regine Marchand

We consider a model where an infection moves through a collection of particles performing independent random walks. In this model, Kesten and Sidoravicius established linear growth of the infected region when infected and susceptible…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

We formulate and prove a shape theorem for a continuous-time continuous-space stochastic growth model under certain general conditions. Similarly to the classical lattice growth models the proof makes use of the subadditive ergodic theorem.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Tyll Krueger , Mykola Lebid , Tomasz Ożański

We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

The two-type Richardson model describes the growth of two competing infection types on the two or higher dimensional integer lattice. For types that spread with the same intensity, it is known that there is a positive probability for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Daniel Ahlberg , Maria Deijfen , Christopher Hoffman

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

This paper analyzes a stochastic logistic difference equation under the assumption that the population distribution follows a normal distribution. Our focus is on the mathematical relationship between the average growth rate and a newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Haiyan Wang

We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We consider growing spheres seeded by random injection in time and space. Growth stops when two spheres meet leading eventually to a jammed state. We study the statistics of growth limited by packing theoretically in d dimensions and via…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Joshua S. Weitz

A one-dimensional cellular automaton with a probabilistic evolution rule can generate stochastic surface growth in $(1 + 1)$ dimensions. Two such discrete models of surface growth are constructed from a probabilistic cellular automaton…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Pratip Bhattacharyya

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi

The interplay of seasonality, the system's nonlinearities and intrinsic stochasticity is studied for a seasonally forced susceptible-exposed-infective-recovered stochastic model. The model is explored in the parameter region that…

Biological Physics · Physics 2010-10-19 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

We study a stochastic epidemic model consisting of elements (organisms in a community or cells in tissue) with fixed positions, in which damage or disease is transmitted by diffusing agents ("signals") emitted by infected individuals. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Fernando P. Faria , Ronald Dickman

Consider two epidemics whose expansions on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ are governed by two families of passage times that are distinct and stochastically comparable. We prove that when the weak infection survives, the space occupied by the strong one is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Olivier Garet , Régine Marchand

We investigate a class of stochastic growth models involving competition between two phases in which one of the phases has a competitive advantage. The equilibrium populations of the competing phases are calculated using a mean field…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 M. T. Batchelor , B. I. Henry , S. D. Watt

We extend our BDI (birth-death-immigration) process based stochastic model of an infectious disease to time-nonhomogeneous cases. First, we discuss the deterministic model, and derive the expected value of the infection process. Then as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Hisashi Kobayashi

A stochastic epidemic model is defined in which each individual belongs to a household, a secondary grouping (typically school or workplace) and also the community as a whole. Moreover, infectious contacts take place in these three settings…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-17 Tom Britton , Theodore Kypraios , Philip O'Neill

We consider a class of growth models and models of turbulence based on the randomly stirred fluid. The similarity between the predictions of these models, noted a decade earlier, is understood on the basis of a stochastic quantization…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Himadri S. Samanta , J. K. Bhattacharjee , D. Gangopadhyay