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We investigate the problem of discovering and modeling regime shifts in an ecosystem comprising multiple time series known as co-evolving time series. Regime shifts refer to the changing behaviors exhibited by series at different time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Etienne Gael Tajeuna , Mohamed Bouguessa , Shengrui Wang

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Renewable hydrogen storage in salt caverns requires fast injection and production rates to cope with the imbalance between energy production and consumption. Such operational conditions raise concerns about the mechanical stability of salt…

With the rise of computers, simulation models have emerged beside the more traditional statistical and mathematical models as a third pillar for ecological analysis. Broadly speaking, a simulation model is an algorithm, typically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-24 Florian Hartig

In an increasing number of applications designers have access to multiple computer models which typically have different levels of fidelity and cost. Traditionally, designers calibrate these models one at a time against some high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Jonathan Tammer Eweis-Labolle , Tyler Johnson , Xiangyu Sun , Ramin Bostanabad

Understanding and predicting interactions between predators and prey and their environment are fundamental for understanding food web structure, dynamics, and ecosystem function in both terrestrial and marine ecosystems.Thus, estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 H. Solvang , S. Imori , M. Biuw , U. Lindstrøm , T. Haug

In marine management, fish stocks are often managed on a stock-by-stock basis using single-species models. Many of these models are based upon statistical techniques and are good at assessing the current state and making short-term…

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

We have previously shown how to socially integrate a fish robot into a group of zebrafish thanks to biomimetic behavioural models. The models have to be calibrated on experimental data to present correct behavioural features. This…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Leo Cazenille , Yohann Chemtob , Frank Bonnet , Alexey Gribovskiy , Francesco Mondada , Nicolas Bredeche , Jose Halloy

We develop an analytical framework to assess the adaptations in a coupled ecological-economic system and apply it to a bio-economic model. Our framework allows us to quantify the impact of multiple drivers on a coupled ecological-economic…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-12 Emily Quiroga , Benjamin Blanz

The quantity and types of biodiversity data being collected have increased in recent years. If we are to model and monitor biodiversity effectively, we need to respect how different data sets were collected, and effectively integrate these…

Marine biogeochemical models are widely used to study nutrient dynamics, water quality, and climate-related processes in coastal and estuarine systems. However, developing models that reliably represent specific environments remains…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-17 Leticia Becher

The modeling of complex systems such as ecological or socio-economic systems can be very challenging. Although various modeling approaches exist, they are generally not compatible and mutually consistent, and empirical data often do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-19 Dirk Helbing

1. Temporal trends in species distributions are necessary for monitoring changes in biodiversity, which aids policymakers and conservationists in making informed decisions. Dynamic species distribution models are often fitted to ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Kwaku Peprah Adjei , Rob Cooke , Nick Isaac , Robert B. O'Hara

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Environment perception is a key component of any autonomous system and is often based on a heterogeneous set of sensors and fusion thereof for which sensor sensor calibration plays fundamental role. It can be divided to intrinsic and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Juraj Peršić

Increasing spatial and temporal resolution of numerical models continues to propel progress in hydrological sciences, but, at the same time, it has strained the ability of modern automatic calibration methods to produce realistic model…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-08 Ruochen Sun , Felipe Hernández , Xu Liang , Huiling Yuan

This paper focuses on the identification of dynamical systems with tailor-made model structures, where neural networks are used to approximate uncertain components and domain knowledge is retained, if available. These model structures are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Growing anthropogenic pressures have increased the need for robust predictive models. Meeting this demand requires approaches that can handle bigger data to yield forecasts that capture the variability and underlying uncertainty of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 EM Wolkovich , T Jonathan Davies , William D Pearse , Michael Betancourt

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev