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We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to analyze photometric galaxy survey data with stellar population synthesis (SPS) models. Our method couples robust modeling of spectral energy distributions with a population model and a noise…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-18 Boris Leistedt , Justin Alsing , Hiranya Peiris , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

We present a detailed Monte Carlo model of observational errors in observed galaxy scaling relations to recover the intrinsic (cosmic) scatter driven by galaxy formation and evolution processes. We apply our method to the stellar radial…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2019-09-04 Connor Stone , Stephane Courteau

Investigating intrinsic alignments (IAs) of galaxy shapes is important not only to constrain cosmological parameters unbiasedly from gravitational lensing but also to extract cosmological information complimentary to galaxy clustering…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-26 Teppei Okumura , Atsushi Taruya

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Dallas Foster , Darin Comeau , Nathan M. Urban

We derive an exact analytical solution for the redshift evolution of linear and scale-independent bias, by solving a second order differential equation based on linear perturbation theory. This bias evolution model is applicable to all…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-07-08 S. Basilakos , M. Plionis , A. Pouri

This paper proposes new linear regression models to deal with overdispersed binomial datasets. These new models, called tilted beta binomial regression models, are defined from the tilted beta binomial distribution, proposed assuming that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 María Victoria Cifuentes-Amado , Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo

We re-examine the effects of redshift space distortion in all-sky galaxy redshift surveys in the formalism of spherical harmonics. Within this framework we show how one can treat both the large-scale linear effects, and the small-scale…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. F. Heavens , A. N. Taylor

The functional linear regression model is a common tool to determine the relationship between a scalar outcome and a functional predictor seen as a function of time. This paper focuses on the Bayesian estimation of the support of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-09 Paul-Marie Grollemund , Christophe Abraham , Meïli Baragatti , Pierre Pudlo

A common task in experimental sciences is to fit mathematical models to real-world measurements to improve understanding of natural phenomenon (reverse-engineering or inverse modeling). When complex dynamical systems are considered, such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Jean-Charles Croix , Nicolas Durrande , Mauricio Alvarez

We extend the Bayesian model fitting shape measurement method presented in Miller et al. (2007) and use the method to estimate the shear from the Shear TEsting Programme simulations (STEP). The method uses a fast model fitting algorithm…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 T. D. Kitching , L. Miller , C. E. Heymans , L. van Waerbeke , A. F. Heavens

Remote sensing observations are extensively used for analysis of environmental variables. These variables often exhibit spatial correlation, which has to be accounted for in the calibration models used in predictions, either by direct…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-14 Virpi Junttila , Marko Laine

We propose the Bayesian adaptive Lasso (BaLasso) for variable selection and coefficient estimation in linear regression. The BaLasso is adaptive to the signal level by adopting different shrinkage for different coefficients. Furthermore, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-14 Chenlei Leng , Minh Ngoc Tran , David Nott

Atmospheric lidar observations provide a unique capability to directly observe the vertical column of cloud and aerosol scattering properties. Detector and solar background noise, however, hinder the ability of lidar systems to provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Willem J. Marais , Robert E. Holz , Yu Hen Hu , Ralph E. Kuehn , Edwin E. Eloranta , Rebecca M. Willett

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

Efficient Bayesian inference remains a computational challenge in hierarchical models. Simulation-based approaches such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are still popular but have a large computational cost. When dealing with the large…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-07 Cristian Chiuchiolo , Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

The Galaxy and the stars in it form a hierarchical system, such that the properties of individual stars are influenced by those of the Galaxy. Here, an approach is described which uses hierarchical Bayesian models to simultaneously and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-11 S. E. Sale

We propose a new statistical protocol for the estimation of precipitation using lightning data. We first identify rainy events using a scan statistics, then we estimate Rainfall Lighting Ratio (RLR) to convert lightning number into rain…

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

The determination of the density parameter $\Omega_0$ from the large-scale distribution of galaxies is one of the major goals of modern cosmology. However, if galaxies are biased tracers of the underlying mass distribution, linear…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Licia Verde , Alan F. Heavens , Sabino Matarrese , Lauro Moscardini