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Classical moment based change point tests like the cusum test are very powerful in case of Gaussian time series with one change point but behave poorly under heavy tailed distributions and corrupted data. A new class of robust change point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

A defining feature of non-stationary systems is the time dependence of their statistical parameters. Measured time series may exhibit Gaussian statistics on short time horizons, due to the central limit theorem. The sample statistics for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-08 Rudi Schäfer , Sonja Barkhofen , Thomas Guhr , Hans-Jürgen Stöckmann , Ulrich Kuhl

We extend the feature selection methodology to dependent data and propose a novel time series predictor selection scheme that accommodates statistical dependence in a more typical i.i.d sub-sampling based framework. Furthermore, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Avleen S. Bijral

Network moments--rescaled counts of motifs such as stars and triangles--are fundamental summaries of network structure, widely used in goodness-of-fit testing, model selection, and network comparison. While the univariate distribution of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mingyu Qi , Chen-Wei Hua , Tianxi Li , Wen Zhou

Subsampling methods aim to select a subsample as a surrogate for the observed sample. As a powerful technique for large-scale data analysis, various subsampling methods are developed for more effective coefficient estimation and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-05 Tao Li , Cheng Meng

The aim of this paper is to develop a change-point test for functional time series that uses the full functional information and is less sensitive to outliers compared to the classical CUSUM test. For this aim, the Wilcoxon two-sample test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of observations. Motivated by this problem, in this contribution we first investigate the extremes of Gaussian fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Long Bai

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Zifeng Zhao , Xiaokai Luo , Zongge Liu , Daren Wang

Recent studies show that transformer-based architectures emulate gradient descent during a forward pass, contributing to in-context learning capabilities - an ability where the model adapts to new tasks based on a sequence of prompt…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Karthik Duraisamy

Model selection requires repeatedly evaluating models on a given dataset and measuring their relative performances. In modern applications of machine learning, the models being considered are increasingly more expensive to evaluate and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Anant Raj , Cameron Musco , Lester Mackey , Nicolo Fusi

In this paper, change-point problems for long memory stochastic volatility models are considered. A general testing problem which includes various alternative hypotheses is discussed. Under the hypothesis of stationarity the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Annika Betken , Rafał Kulik

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

The aim of this paper is first the detection of multiple abrupt changes of the long-range dependence (respectively self-similarity, local fractality) parameters from a sample of a Gaussian stationary times series (respectively time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-10 Jean-Marc Bardet , Imen Kammoun

Topological data analysis has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting the metric, geometric and topological features underlying the data as a multi-resolution summary statistic, and has found applications in several areas where data…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Siddharth Vishwanath , Kenji Fukumizu , Satoshi Kuriki , Bharath Sriperumbudur

Testing for association or dependence between pairs of random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics. In some applications, data are subject to selection bias that causes dependence between observations even when it is absent from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Yaniv Tenzer , Micha Mandel , Or Zuk

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu