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Randomized optimization is an established tool for control design with modulated robustness. While for uncertain convex programs there exist randomized approaches with efficient sampling, this is not the case for non-convex problems.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-08 Sergio Grammatico , Xiaojing Zhang , Kostas Margellos , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

Multi-step-ahead time series prediction is one of the most challenging research topics in the field of time series modeling and prediction, and is continually under research. Recently, the multiple-input several multiple-outputs (MISMO)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Yukun Bao , Tao Xiong , Zhongyi Hu

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Multiobjective design optimization problems require multiobjective optimization techniques to solve, and it is often very challenging to obtain high-quality Pareto fronts accurately. In this paper, the recently developed flower pollination…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-25 Xin-She Yang , M. Karamanoglu , X. S. He

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Scenario reduction algorithms can be an effective means to provide a tractable description of the uncertainty in optimal control problems. However, they might significantly compromise the performance of the controlled system. In this paper,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Francesco Cordiano , Bart De Schutter

We present a new algorithm to optimize distributions defined implicitly by parameterized stochastic diffusions. Doing so allows us to modify the outcome distribution of sampling processes by optimizing over their parameters. We introduce a…

We introduce a new method for performing clustering with the aim of fitting clusters with different scatters and weights. It is designed by allowing to handle a proportion $\alpha$ of contaminating data to guarantee the robustness of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Luis A. García-Escudero , Alfonso Gordaliza , Carlos Matrán , Agustin Mayo-Iscar

Submodular maximization is a general optimization problem with a wide range of applications in machine learning (e.g., active learning, clustering, and feature selection). In large-scale optimization, the parallel running time of an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Matthew Fahrbach , Vahab Mirrokni , Morteza Zadimoghaddam

The Column Subset Selection Problem provides a natural framework for unsupervised feature selection. Despite being a hard combinatorial optimization problem, there exist efficient algorithms that provide good approximations. The drawback of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Bruno Ordozgoiti , Alberto Mozo , Jesús García López de Lacalle

Electric utilities must make massive capital investments in the coming years to respond to explosive growth in demand, aging assets and rising threats from extreme weather. Utilities today already have rigorous frameworks for capital…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Emma Benjaminson

In urgent decision making applications, ensemble simulations are an important way to determine different outcome scenarios based on currently available data. In this paper, we will analyze the output of ensemble simulations by considering…

Graphics · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Max Kontak , Jules Vidal , Julien Tierny

We investigate model assessment and selection in a changing environment, by synthesizing datasets from both the current time period and historical epochs. To tackle unknown and potentially arbitrary temporal distribution shift, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

The sampling problem lies at the heart of atomistic simulations and over the years many different enhanced sampling methods have been suggested towards its solution. These methods are often grouped into two broad families. On the one hand…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-11-25 Michele Invernizzi , Pablo Miguel Piaggi , Michele Parrinello

Accurate time series forecasting is critical for a wide range of problems with temporal data. Ensemble modeling is a well-established technique for leveraging multiple predictive models to increase accuracy and robustness, as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Leonard Boussioux

In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Raghu Bollapragada , Richard Byrd , Jorge Nocedal

To mitigate the risk posed by extreme rainfall events, we require statistical models that reliably capture extremes in continuous space with dependence. However, assuming a stationary dependence structure in such models is often erroneous,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-15 K. R. Saunders , A. G. Stephenson , D. J. Karoly

We treat the so-called scenario approach, a popular probabilistic approximation method for robust minmax optimization problems via independent and indentically distributed (i.i.d) sampling from the uncertainty set, from various…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Mishal Assif P K , Debasish Chatterjee , Ravi Banavar

Feature selection is popular for obtaining small, interpretable, yet highly accurate prediction models. Conventional feature-selection methods typically yield one feature set only, which might not suffice in some scenarios. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Jakob Bach