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The goal of a sequential decision making problem is to design an interactive policy that adaptively selects a group of items, each selection is based on the feedback from the past, in order to maximize the expected utility of selected…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Shaojie Tang

We perform a stability analysis for the utility maximization problem in a general semimartingale model where both liquid and illiquid assets (random endowments) are present. Small misspecifications of preferences (as modeled via expected…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-17 Constantinos Kardaras , Gordan Zitkovic

Drifts of asset returns are notoriously difficult to model accurately and, yet, trading strategies obtained from portfolio optimization are very sensitive to them. To mitigate this well-known phenomenon we study robust growth-optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Balint Binkert , David Itkin , Paul Mangers Bastian , Josef Teichmann

A drawdown constraint forces the current wealth to remain above a given function of its maximum to date. We consider the portfolio optimisation problem of maximising the long-term growth rate of the expected utility of wealth subject to a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-23 Vladimir Cherny , Jan Obloj

This paper studies the problem of maximizing the expected utility of terminal wealth for a financial agent with an unbounded random endowment, and with a utility function which supports both positive and negative wealth. We prove the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Mark Owen , Gordan Zitkovic

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

As a schematic model of the complexity economic agents are confronted with, we introduce the ``SK-game'', a discrete time binary choice model inspired from mean-field spin-glasses. We show that even in a completely static environment,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-27 Jerome Garnier-Brun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper studies a risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty. It considers a decision-making process that unfolds over a fixed number of stages, in which a decision-maker chooses among multiple alternatives, some of which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chung-Han Hsieh , Yi-Shan Wong

We consider market players with tail-risk-seeking behaviour as exemplified by the S-shaped utility introduced by Kahneman and Tversky. We argue that risk measures such as value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are ineffective in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-30 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo

We prove the existence of optimal strategies for agents with cumulative prospect theory preferences who trade in a continuous-time illiquid market, transcending known results which pertained only to risk-averse utility maximizers. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-13 Huy N. Chau , Miklós Rásonyi

We study a continuous-time portfolio choice problem for an investor whose state-dependent preferences are determined by an exogenous factor that evolves as an It\^o diffusion process. Since risk attitudes at the end of the investment…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Sascha Desmettre , Yevhen Havrylenko , Mogens Steffensen

This survey reviews recent developments in revealed preference theory. It discusses the testable implications of theories of choice that are germane to specific economic environments. The focus is on expected utility in risky environments;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-12-04 Federico Echenique

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

Given data generated by an observable stochastic process, we study how to construct statistically optimal decisions for general stochastic optimization problems. Our setting encompasses non-standard data structures, including data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Radek Salač , Michael Kupper , Tobias Sutter

In this paper, we consider the revealed preferences problem from a learning perspective. Every day, a price vector and a budget is drawn from an unknown distribution, and a rational agent buys his most preferred bundle according to some…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-20 Morteza Zadimoghaddam , Aaron Roth

In this paper, we discuss an application of the SDDP type algorithm to nested risk-averse formulations of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) problems. We propose a construction of a statistical upper bound for the optimal value of risk-averse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Vincent Guigues , Alexander Shapiro , Yi Cheng

We study an infinite-horizon optimal investment, consumption and insurance problem for an economic agent who consumes a perishable and a durable good. The agent trades in a risk-free asset, a risky asset, and a durable good whose price…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-09 Aleksandar Arandjelović , Ryle S. Perera , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Tak Kuen Siu , Jin Sun

In this paper we study a robust utility maximization problem in continuous time under model uncertainty. The model uncertainty is governed by a continuous semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 David Criens , Lars Niemann

Models of adaptive bet-hedging commonly adopt insights from Kelly's famous work on optimal gambling strategies and the financial value of information. In particular, such models seek evolutionary solutions that maximize long term average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-18 Omri Tal , Tat Dat Tran

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang