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We study a single-server priority queue with a finite number of classes, in which the arrivals follow a fractional Poisson process of index $\alpha \in (0,1]$ and the service completions are triggered by an independent fractional Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicos Georgiou , Enrico Scalas , Vladislav Vysotsky

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

This paper presents a framework for binary autoregressive time series in which each observation is a Bernoulli variable whose success probability evolves with past outcomes and probabilities, in the spirit of GARCH-type dynamics,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-17 Anna Bykhovskaya , Nour Meddahi

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

A popular and flexible time series model for counts is the generalized integer autoregressive process of order $p$, GINAR($p$). These Markov processes are defined using thinning operators evaluated on past values of the process along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Pashmeen Kaur , Peter F. Craigmile

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

Motivated by monitoring the arrival of incoming adverse events such as customer support calls or crash reports from users exposed to an experimental product change, we consider sequential hypothesis testing of continuous-time inhomogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Michael Lindon , Nathan Kallus

A bivariate integer-valued autoregressive process of order 1 (BINAR(1)) with copula-joint innovations is studied. Different parameter estimation methods are analyzed and compared via Monte Carlo simulations with emphasis on estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-07 Andrius Buteikis , Remigijus Leipus

The model of binary aggregation with constant kernel is subjected to stochastic resetting: aggregates of any size explode into monomers at independent stochastic times. These resetting times are Poisson distributed, and the rate of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-11 Pascal Grange

Many phenomena can be modeled as network dynamics with punctuate interactions. However, most relevant dynamics do not allow for computational tractability. To circumvent this difficulty, the Poisson Hypothesis regime replaces interaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Michel Davydov

We discuss invariance principles for autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving averages in $\alpha$-stable $(1< \alpha \le 2)$ i.i.d. innovations and related tempered linear processes with vanishing tempering parameter $\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Farzad Sabzikar , Donatas Surgailis

We discuss joint spatial-temporal scaling limits of sums $A_{\lambda,\gamma}$ (indexed by $(x,y) \in \mathbb{R}^2_+$) of large number $O(\lambda^{\gamma})$ of independent copies of integrated input process $X = \{X(t), t \in \mathbb{R}\}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Remigijus Leipus , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Donatas Surgailis

We present some correlated fractional counting processes on a finite time interval. This will be done by considering a slight generalization of the processes in Borges et al. (2012). The main case concerns a class of space-time fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-10 Luisa Beghin , Roberto Garra , Claudio Macci

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

We provide a generalization of Theorem 1 in Bartkiewicz, Jakubowski, Mikosch and Wintenberger (2011) in the sense that we give sufficient conditions for weak convergence of finite dimensional distributions of the partial sum processes of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

The fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process was introduced by a time-change of the non-homogeneous Poisson process with the inverse $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We propose a similar definition for the (non-homogeneous) fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Nikolai Leonenko , Enrico Scalas , Mailan Trinh

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

This paper introduces a periodic multivariate Poisson autoregression with potentially infinite memory, with a special focus on the network setting. Using contraction techniques, we study the stability of such a process and provide upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Mahmoud Khabou , Edward A. K. Cohen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele