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Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is widely used for nonparametric regression over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. It offers powerful modeling capabilities at the cost of significant computational costs, which typically require $O(n^3)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Xiaowu Dai , Huiying Zhong

This paper considers the problem of nonparametric quantile regression under the assumption that the target conditional quantile function is a composition of a sequence of low-dimensional functions. We study the nonparametric quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Guohao Shen , Yuling Jiao , Yuanyuan Lin , Joel L. Horowitz , Jian Huang

The random feature (RF) approach is a well-established and efficient tool for scalable kernel methods, but existing literature has primarily focused on kernel ridge regression with random features (KRR-RF), which has limitations in handling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Caixing Wang , Xingdong Feng

Mission critical applications, such as UAV-assisted IoT networks require risk-aware decision-making under dynamic topologies and uncertain channels. We propose meta-conservative quantile regression (M-CQR), a meta-offline distributional…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Eslam Eldeeb , Hirley Alves

A main difficulty in actuarial claim size modeling is that there is no simple off-the-shelf distribution that simultaneously provides a good distributional model for the main body and the tail of the data. In particular, covariates may have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Tobias Fissler , Michael Merz , Mario V. Wüthrich

As generative AI models are increasingly used to simulate real-world systems, quantifying the ``sim-to-real'' gap is critical. For each input setting of interest -- which we call a \emph{scenario}, such as a survey question or operating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Garud Iyengar , Yu-Shiou Willy Lin , Kaizheng Wang

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) enhances the understanding of the effects of the randomness in the environment by letting agents learn the distribution of a random return, rather than its expected value as in standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Zifan Wang , Yulong Gao , Siyi Wang , Michael M. Zavlanos , Alessandro Abate , Karl H. Johansson

We propose a penalized nonparametric approach to estimating the quantile regression process (QRP) in a nonseparable model using rectifier quadratic unit (ReQU) activated deep neural networks and introduce a novel penalty function to enforce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-22 Guohao Shen , Yuling Jiao , Yuanyuan Lin , Joel L. Horowitz , Jian Huang

This paper studies minimax rates of convergence for nonparametric location-scale models, which include mean, quantile and expectile regression settings. Under Hellinger differentiability on the error distribution and other mild conditions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Bingxin Zhao , Yuhong Yang

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

Classical methods for quantile regression fail in cases where the quantile of interest is extreme and only few or no training data points exceed it. Asymptotic results from extreme value theory can be used to extrapolate beyond the range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Nicola Gnecco , Edossa Merga Terefe , Sebastian Engelke

In regression tasks, aleatoric uncertainty is commonly addressed by considering a parametric distribution of the output variable, which is based on strong assumptions such as symmetry, unimodality or by supposing a restricted shape. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Jordi Vitrià , Alberto Rubio

This paper considers an augmented double autoregressive (DAR) model, which allows null volatility coefficients to circumvent the over-parameterization problem in the DAR model. Since the volatility coefficients might be on the boundary, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-07 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

In this paper, we will discuss how to generalize nonparametric density estimators to MLE parametric estimators. Basing on the Parzen window theory and using the advantages of probability amplitude of quantum theory, we model a nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 Yeong-Shyeong Tsai

A two-groups mixed-effects model for the comparison of (normalized) microarray data from two treatment groups is considered. Most competing parametric methods that have appeared in the literature are obtained as special cases or by minor…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Haim Bar , James Booth , Elizabeth Schifano , Martin T. Wells

A standard approach to confidence intervals for quantiles requires good estimates of the quantile density. The optimal bandwidth for kernel estimation of the quantile density depends on an underlying location-scale family only through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-01 Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

Completely random measures (CRMs) are fundamental to Bayesian nonparametric models, with applications in clustering, feature allocation, and network analysis. A key quantity of interest is the Laplace exponent, whose asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Valentin Kilian , Benjamin Guedj , François Caron

This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Vilde Jensen , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Stian Norman Anfinsen

We propose an out-of-distribution detection method that combines density and restoration-based approaches using Vector-Quantized Variational Auto-Encoders (VQ-VAEs). The VQ-VAE model learns to encode images in a categorical latent space.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Sergio Naval Marimont , Giacomo Tarroni
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