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We consider restless multi-armed bandit (RMAB) with a finite horizon and multiple pulls per period. Leveraging the Lagrangian relaxation, we approximate the problem with a collection of single arm problems. We then propose an index-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Weici Hu , Peter Frazier

A recursive state estimation procedure is derived for a linear time varying system with both parametric uncertainties and stochastic measurement droppings. This estimator has a similar form as that of the Kalman filter with intermittent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Tong Zhou

We study the Lagrangian Index Policy (LIP) for restless multi-armed bandits with long-run average reward. In particular, we compare the performance of LIP with the performance of the Whittle Index Policy (WIP), both heuristic policies known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Vivek S. Borkar , Pratik Shah

Restless bandit problems assume time-varying reward distributions of the arms, which adds flexibility to the model but makes the analysis more challenging. We study learning algorithms over the unknown reward distributions and prove a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Young Hun Jung , Marc Abeille , Ambuj Tewari

Pathwise predictability of continuous time processes is studied in deterministic setting. We discuss uniform prediction in some weak sense with respect to certain classes of inputs. More precisely, we study possibility of approximation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Low dimensional representations of words allow accurate NLP models to be trained on limited annotated data. While most representations ignore words' local context, a natural way to induce context-dependent representations is to perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 David Belanger , Sham Kakade

We analyze the convergence aspects of the invariant extended Kalman filter (IEKF), when the latter is used as a deterministic non-linear observer on Lie groups, for continuous-time systems with discrete observations. One of the main…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

We study the linear stochastic bandit problem, relaxing the standard i.i.d. assumption on the observation noise. As an alternative to this restrictive assumption, we allow the noise terms across rounds to be sub-Gaussian but interdependent,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-28 Baptiste Abélès , Eugenio Clerico , Hamish Flynn , Gergely Neu

We present optimality results for robust Kalman filtering where robustness is understood in a distributional sense, i.e.; we enlarge the distribution assumptions made in the ideal model by suitable neighborhoods. This allows for outliers…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-21 Peter Ruckdeschel

We consider non-linear regression models corrupted by generic noise when the regression functions form a non-linear subspace of L^2, relevant in non-linear PDE inverse problems and data assimilation. We show that when the score of the model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Dimitri Konen

We study the $\textit{single-index bandit}$ problem, where rewards depend on an unknown one-dimensional projection of high-dimensional contexts through an unknown reward function. This model extends linear and generalized linear bandits to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Devdan Dey , Sujoy Bhore , Avishek Ghosh

Contextual bandits serve as a fundamental model for many sequential decision making tasks. The most popular theoretically justified approaches are based on the optimism principle. While these algorithms can be practical, they are known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Botao Hao , Tor Lattimore , Csaba Szepesvari

We study the limiting behavior of continuous time trawl processes which are defined using an infinitely divisible random measure of a time dependent set. In this way one is able to define separately the marginal distribution and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Murad S. Taqqu

Inspired by the complexity of certain real-world datasets, this article introduces a novel flexible linear spline index regression model. The model posits piecewise linear effects of an index on the response, with continuous changes…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Lianqiang Qu , Long Lv , Meiling Hao , Liuquan Sun

We consider particle filters with weakly informative observations (or `potentials') relative to the latent state dynamics. The particular focus of this work is on particle filters to approximate time-discretisations of continuous-time…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Nicolas Chopin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Tomás Soto , Matti Vihola

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Oliver Grothe

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

We develop a generalization of correlated trend-cycle decompositions that avoids prior assumptions about the long-run dynamic characteristics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process and incorporating a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-26 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

This paper is concerned with a generalized Kalman-Bucy filtering model and corresponding robust problem under model uncertainty. We find that this robust problem is equivalent to considering an estimate problem under some sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Shaolin Ji , Chuiliu Kong , Chuanfeng Sun

This paper describes some new results on recursive l_1-minimizing by Kalman filtering. We consider the l_1-norm as an explicit constraint, formulated as a nonlinear observation of the state to be estimated. Interpretiing a sparse vector to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-21 Otmar Loffeld , Dunja Alexandra Hage , Miguel Heredia Conde , Ling Wang