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There are numerous contexts where one wishes to describe the state of a randomly evolving system. Effective solutions combine models that quantify the underlying uncertainty with available observational data to form relatively optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Wonjung Lee , Terry Lyons

We propose a new algorithm to approach weakly the solution of a McKean-Vlasov SDE. Based on the cubature method of Lyons and Victoir 2004, the algorithm is deterministic differing from the the usual methods based on interacting particles.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Paul-Eric Chaudru de Raynal , Camilo Garcia Trillos

Particle methods are widely used because they can provide accurate descriptions of evolving measures. Recently it has become clear that by stepping outside the Monte Carlo paradigm these methods can be of higher order with effective and…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-21 C. Litterer , T. Lyons

In this paper, approximate Linear Minimum Variance (LMV) filters for continuous-discrete state space models are introduced. The filters are obtained by means of a recursive approximation to the predictions for the first two moments of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-18 Juan Carlos Jimenez

This paper considers an optimization problem for a dynamical system whose evolution depends on a collection of binary decision variables. We develop scalable approximation algorithms with provable suboptimality bounds to provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Insoon Yang , Samuel A. Burden , Ram Rajagopal , S. Shankar Sastry , Claire J. Tomlin

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy

This paper presents an algorithm for applying the high-order recombination method, originally introduced by Lyons and Litterer in ``High-order recombination and an application to cubature on Wiener space'' (Ann. Appl. Probab.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Syoiti Ninomiya , Yuji Shinozaki

We consider a non-linear filtering problem, whereby the signal obeys the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations and is observed through a linear mapping with additive noise. The setup is relevant to data assimilation for numerical weather…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-10 Francesc Pons Llopis , Nikolas Kantas , Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated advective and diffusive evolutionary problems, based upon the Dynamic Likelihood (DLF) approach to filtering. The DLF was developed specifically for hyperbolic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Johannes Krotz , Juan M. Restrepo , Jorge Ramirez

The classical Ka\v{c}anov scheme for the solution of nonlinear variational problems can be interpreted as a fixed point iteration method that updates a given approximation by solving a linear problem in each step. Based on this observation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Pascal Heid , Thomas P. Wihler

Due to the highly non-convex nature of large-scale robust parameter estimation, avoiding poor local minima is challenging in real-world applications where input data is contaminated by a large or unknown fraction of outliers. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach

In this paper, we introduce an adaptive kernel method for solving the optimal filtering problem. The computational framework that we adopt is the Bayesian filter, in which we recursively generate an optimal estimate for the state of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Zezhong Zhang , Richard Archibald , Feng Bao

As a technique that can compactly represent complex patterns, machine learning has significant potential for predictive inference. K-fold cross-validation (CV) is the most common approach to ascertaining the likelihood that a machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Juan M Gorriz , R. Martin Clemente , F Segovia , J Ramirez , A Ortiz , J. Suckling

Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Jörg Nick , Filip Tronarp

This letter explores covariance matching-based adaptive robust cubature Kalman filter (CMRACKF). In this method, the innovation sequence is used to determine the covariance matrix of measurement noise that can overcome the limitation of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-22 Mundla Narasimhappa , Sesham Srinu

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

Some variant of the Frank-Wolfe method for convex optimization problems with adaptive selection of the step parameter corresponding to information about the smoothness of the objective function (the Lipschitz constant of the gradient).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-01 G. V. Aivazian , F. S. Stonyakin , D. A. Pasechnyuk , M. S. Alkousa , A. M. Raigorodskii

Nonlinear adaptive filtering allows for modeling of some additional aspects of a general system and usually relies on highly complex algorithms, such as those based on the Volterra series. Through the use of the Kronecker product and some…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-02 Felipe C. Pinheiro , Cássio G. Lopes

In this article we propose a new adaptive numerical quadrature procedure which includes both local subdivision of the integration domain, as well as local variation of the number of quadrature points employed on each subinterval. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-17 Paul Houston , Thomas P. Wihler
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