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We consider a type of nonnormal approximation of infinitely divisible distributions that incorporates compound Poisson, Gamma, and normal distributions. The approximation relies on achieving higher orders of cumulant matching, to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Zhiyi Chi

We present a method that allows, under suitable equivariance and regularity conditions, to determine the Poisson boundary of a diffusion starting from the Poisson boundary of a sub-diffusion of the original one. We then give two examples of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Jürgen Angst , Camille Tardif

Sparse variational Gaussian process (GP) approximations based on inducing points have become the de facto standard for scaling GPs to large datasets, owing to their theoretical elegance, computational efficiency, and ease of implementation.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-14 Thang D. Bui , Matthew Ashman , Richard E. Turner

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

In this article, we first obtain, for the Kolmogorov distance, an error bound between a tempered stable and a compound Poisson distribution and also an error bound between a tempered stable and an alpha stable distribution via Stein method.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Kalyan Burman , Neelesh S Upadhye , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We introduce a finite version of free probability and show the link between recent results using polynomial convolutions and the traditional theory of free probability. One tool for accomplishing this is a seemingly new transformation that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Adam W. Marcus

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon

A multivariate fractional Poisson process was recently defined in Beghin and Macci (2016) by considering a common independent random time change for a finite dimensional vector of independent (non-fractional) Poisson processes; moreover it…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

General sufficient conditions are given for absolute continuity and convergence in variation of the distributions of the unctionals on a probability space, generated by a Poisson point measure. The phase space of the Poisson point measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Alexey M. Kulik

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Xinjia Chen

Using Chen-Stein method in combination with size-biased couplings, we obtain the multivariate Poisson approximation in terms of the Wasserstein distance. As applications, we study the multivariate Poisson approximation of the distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Eulalia Nualart , Rui-Ray Zhang

We develop a general technique for bounding the tail of the total variation distance between the empirical and the true distributions over countable sets. Our methods sharpen a deviation bound of Devroye (1983) for distributions over finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Daniel Berend , Aryeh Kontorovich

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for stochastic invariance of finite dimensional submanifolds with boundary in Hilbert spaces for stochastic partial differential equations driven by Wiener processes and Poisson random…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Damir Filipovic , Stefan Tappe , Josef Teichmann

We show that the variational representations for f-divergences currently used in the literature can be tightened. This has implications to a number of methods recently proposed based on this representation. As an example application we use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Avraham Ruderman , Mark Reid , Dario Garcia-Garcia , James Petterson

In this paper we provide an upper bound for the conjunction probability of independent Gaussian smooth processes and then we prove that this bound is a good approximation with exponentially smaller error. Our result confirms the heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Viet-Hung Pham

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the $p$-fold integrated empirical process, $p$ being a fixed positive integer. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

We study the normal approximation of functionals of Poisson measures having the form of a finite sum of multiple integrals. When the integrands are nonnegative, our results yield necessary and sufficient conditions for central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati