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We consider a simple stochastic model for the spread of a disease caused by two virus strains in a closed homogeneously mixing population of size N. The spread of each strain in the absence of the other one is described by the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Fabio Lopes , Malwina Luczak

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

We pose a new and intriguing question motivated by distributed computing regarding random walks on graphs: How long does it take for several independent random walks, starting from the same vertex, to cover an entire graph? We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-20 Noga Alon , Chen Avin , Michal Koucky , Gady Kozma , Zvi Lotker , Mark R. Tuttle

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the proportion of infected individuals for an epidemic model by dealing with a discrete time system of simple random walks on a complete graph with n vertices. Each random walk makes a role of a virus.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-17 F. Machado , H. Mashurian , H. Matzinger

Graph burning is a model for the spread of social contagion. The burning number is a graph parameter associated with graph burning that measures the speed of the spread of contagion in a graph; the lower the burning number, the faster the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Anthony Bonato , Jeannette Janssen , Elham Roshanbin

We consider contact processes on the hierarchical group, where sites infect other sites at a rate depending on their hierarchical distance, and sites become healthy with a constant recovery rate. If the infection rates decay too fast as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Siva R. Athreya , Jan M. Swart

We give a construction of a tree in which the contact process with any positive infection rate survives but, if a certain privileged edge $e^*$ is removed, one obtains two subtrees in which the contact process with infection rate smaller…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Réka Szabó , Daniel Valesin

We say that a graph $G=(V,E)$ on $n$ vertices is a $\beta$-expander for some constant $\beta>0$ if every $U\subseteq V$ of cardinality $|U|\leq \frac{n}{2}$ satisfies $|N_G(U)|\geq \beta|U|$ where $N_G(U)$ denotes the neighborhood of $U$.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-11-30 Sonny Ben-Shimon , Michael Krivelevich

Epidemic outbreaks of new pathogens, or known pathogens in new populations, cause a great deal of fear because they are hard to predict. For theoretical models of disease spreading, on the other hand, quantities characterizing the outbreak…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-20 Petter Holme , Taro Takaguchi

The contact process on an infinite homogeneous tree is shown to exhibit at least two phase transitions as the infection parameter lambda is varied. For small values of lambda a single infection eventually dies out. For larger lambda the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Zero forcing (also called graph infection) on a simple, undirected graph $G$ is based on the color-change rule: If each vertex of $G$ is colored either white or black, and vertex $v$ is a black vertex with only one white neighbor $w$, then…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Leslie Hogben , My Huynh , Nicole Kingsley , Sarah Meyer , Shanise Walker , Michael Young

Suppose that a cascade (e.g., an epidemic) spreads on an unknown graph, and only the infection times of vertices are observed. What can be learned about the graph from the infection times caused by multiple distinct cascades? Most of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

We prove a general theorem on cutoffs for symmetric simple exclusion processes on graphs with open boundaries, under the natural assumption that the graphs converge geometrically and spectrally to a compact metric measure space with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Joe P. Chen , Milton Jara , Rodrigo Marinho

Let $G = (V,E)$ be a connected directed graph on $n$ vertices. Assign values from the set $\{1,2,\dots,n\}$ to the vertices of $G$ and update the values according to the following rule: uniformly at random choose a vertex and update its…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-06-05 John Larkin

Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-19 S. Gomez , A. Arenas , J. Borge-Holthoefer , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

We investigate the contact process on four different types of scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs evolving according to a stationary dynamics, where each potential edge is updated with a rate depending on the strength of the adjacent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Emmanuel Jacob , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

Spreading processes on graphs are a natural model for a wide variety of real-world phenomena, including information spread over social networks and biological diseases spreading over contact networks. Often, the networks over which these…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Jessica Enright , Kitty Meeks , George B. Mertzios , Viktor Zamaraev

We develop a theory of first passage processes in stochastic non-equilibrium systems of birth-death type using two closely related epidemiological models as examples. Our method employs the probability generating function technique in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

Graph burning is a discrete time process which can be used to model the spread of social contagion. One is initially given a graph of unburned vertices. At each round (time step), one vertex is burned; unburned vertices with at least one…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Yukihiro Murakami
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