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The likelihood function represents statistical evidence in the context of data and a probability model. Considerable theory has demonstrated that evidence strength for different parameter values can be interpreted from the ratio of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Zeynep Baskurt , Lisa Strug

The evaluation of the probability of union of a large number of independent events requires several combinations involving the factorial and the use of high performance computers with several hours of processing. Bounds and simplifications…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Edson Luiz Ursini , Paulo S. Martins

We introduce a lazy approach to the explanation-based approximation of probabilistic logic programs. It uses only the most significant part of the program when searching for explanations. The result is a fast and anytime approximate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-07-13 Joris Renkens , Angelika Kimmig , Luc De Raedt

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

While Chain-of-Thought (CoT) prompting enhances the reasoning capabilities of large language models, the faithfulness of the generated rationales remains an open problem for model interpretability. We propose a novel theoretical lens for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Elija Perrier

In probabilistic reasoning, the traditionally discrete domain has been elevated to the hybrid domain encompassing additionally continuous random variables. Inference in the hybrid domain, however, usually necessitates to condone trade-offs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-13 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires , Anton Dries , Luc De Raedt

The Particle Number Projected Generator Coordinate Method is formulated for the pairing Hamiltonian in a detailed way in the projection after variation and the variation after projection methods. The dependence of the wave functions on the…

Superconductivity · Physics 2009-11-11 M. A. Fernandez , J. L. Egido

Neurosymbolic artificial intelligence is a growing field of research aiming to combine neural network learning capabilities with the reasoning abilities of symbolic systems. Informed multi-label classification is a sub-field of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Arthur Ledaguenel , Céline Hudelot , Mostepha Khouadjia

An approach to analyse the properties of a particle system is to compare it with different processes to understand when one of them is larger than other ones. The main technique for that is coupling, which may not be easy to construct. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Davide Borrello

Language models (LM) are capable of remarkably complex linguistic tasks; however, numerical reasoning is an area in which they frequently struggle. An important but rarely evaluated form of reasoning is understanding probability…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Akshay Paruchuri , Jake Garrison , Shun Liao , John Hernandez , Jacob Sunshine , Tim Althoff , Xin Liu , Daniel McDuff

Expectation is a central notion in probability theory. The notion of expectation also makes sense for other notions of uncertainty. We introduce a propositional logic for reasoning about expectation, where the semantics depends on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Over the past three decades, the logic programming paradigm has been successfully expanded to support probabilistic modeling, inference and learning. The resulting paradigm of probabilistic logic programming (PLP) and its programming…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires , Luc De Raedt , Angelika Kimmig

A $\lambda$-calculus is introduced in which all programs can be evaluated in probabilistic polynomial time and in which there is sufficient structure to represent sequential cryptographic constructions and adversaries for them, even when…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Ugo Dal Lago , Zeinab Galal , Giulia Giusti

Probabilistic programming and the formal analysis of probabilistic algorithms are active areas of research, driven by the widespread use of randomness to improve performance. While functional correctness has seen substantial progress,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Matthias Hetzenberger , Georg Moser , Florian Zuleger

A framework is presented for a computational theory of probabilistic argument. The Probabilistic Reasoning Environment encodes knowledge at three levels. At the deepest level are a set of schemata encoding the system's domain knowledge.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

Probabilistic programming (PP) is a programming paradigm that allows for writing statistical models like ordinary programs, performing simulations by running those programs, and analyzing and refining their statistical behavior using…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Martin Kuhn , Joscha Grüger , Christoph Matheja , Andrey Rivkin

From behavioral sciences to biology to quantum mechanics, one encounters situations where (i) a system outputs several random variables in response to several inputs, (ii) for each of these responses only some of the inputs may "directly"…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 E. N. Dzhafarov , J. V. Kujala

Prompted models have demonstrated impressive few-shot learning abilities. Repeated interactions at test-time with a single model, or the composition of multiple models together, further expands capabilities. These compositions are…

Cyberlogic is an enabling logical foundation for building and analyzing digital transactions that involve the exchange of digital forms of evidence. It is based on an extension of (first-order) intuitionistic predicate logic with an…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Harald Ruess , Natarajan Shankar

The established language for statistical testing --- significance levels, power, and p-values --- is overly complicated and deceptively conclusive. Even teachers of statistics and scientists who use statistics misinterpret the results of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Glenn Shafer
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