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Related papers: Beta-gamma tail asymptotics

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We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

In this paper we prove the tail variational principle for actions of countable amenable groups. This allows us to extend some characterizations of asymptotic $h$-expansiveness from $\mathbb{Z}$-actions to actions of countable amenable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Tomasz Downarowicz , Guohua Zhang

Let $\Lambda$ be the limiting smallest eigenvalue in the general (\beta, a)-Laguerre ensemble of random matrix theory. Here \beta>0, a >-1; for \beta=1,2,4 and integer a, this object governs the singular values of certain rank n Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-21 Jose A. Ramirez , Brian Rider , Ofer Zeitouni

Let (X,Y) be a bivariate elliptical random vector with associated random radius in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction. In this paper we obtain a second order asymptotic expansion of the joint survival probability P(X > x, Y> y) for x,y…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-15 Enkelejd Hashorva

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

When an explicit expression for a probability distribution function $F(x)$ can not be found, asymptotic properties of the tail probability function $\bar{F}(x)=1-F(x)$ are very valuable, since they provide approximations or bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

This paper investigates the asymptotics of the number of prime values taken by a polynomial in several variables with integer coefficients. Based on probabilistic heuristics and the multidimensional Bateman Horn conjecture, the expected…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Victor Volfson

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

Tail Gini functional is a measure of tail risk variability for systemic risks, and has many applications in banking, finance and insurance. Meanwhile, there is growing attention on aymptotic independent pairs in quantitative risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Zhaowen Wang , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li

Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-21 Hans Manner , Johan Segers

We study randomly stopped sums via their asymptotic scales. First, finiteness of moments is considered. To generalise this study, asymptotic scales applicable to the class of all heavy-tailed random variables are used. The stopping is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-12 Jaakko Lehtomaa

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Sebastian Engelke , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

In this paper, asymptotic behavior of convolution of distributions belonging to two subclasses of distributions with exponential tails are considered, respectively. The precise second-order tail asymptotics of the convolutions are derived…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Zuoxiang Peng , Xin Liao

An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

The Tracy-Widom beta distribution is the large dimensional limit of the top eigenvalue of beta random matrix ensembles. We use the stochastic Airy operator representation to show that as a tends to infinity the tail of the Tracy Widom…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-27 Laure Dumaz , Bálint Virág

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama