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A new mixture autoregressive model based on Student's $t$-distribution is proposed. A key feature of our model is that the conditional $t$-distributions of the component models are based on autoregressions that have multivariate…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Mika Meitz , Daniel Preve , Pentti Saikkonen

This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

We examine the asymptotic behaviour of the sample autocovariance in a continuous-time moving average model with long-range dependence. We show that it is either asymptotically Rosenblatt distributed or stable distributed. This shows that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Felix Spangenberg

In this paper we consider a linear stochastic Volterra equation which has a stationary solution. We show that when the kernel of the fundamental solution is regularly varying at infinity with a log-convex tail integral, then the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2010-09-08 John A. D. Appleby , Katja Krol

Based on the ratio of two block maxima, we propose a large sample test for the length of memory of a stationary symmetric $\alpha$-stable discrete parameter random field. We show that the power function converges to one as the sample-size…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Ayan Bhattacharya , Parthanil Roy

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen

A multi-factor extension of the Hobson and Rogers (HR) model, incorporating a quadratic variance function (QHR model), is proposed and analysed. The QHR model allows for greater flexibility in defining the moving average filter while…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-13 Paolo Foschi

This paper introduces a multivariate spatiotemporal autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model based on a vec-representation. The model includes instantaneous spatial autoregressive spill-over effects in the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Philipp Otto

The generalization of the ARMA time series model to the multidimensional index set $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\ge2$, is called spatial ARMA model. The purpose of the following is to specify necessary conditions and sufficient conditions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Martin Drapatz

We consider multivariate stationary processes $(\boldsymbol{X}_t)$ satisfying a stochastic recurrence equation of the form $$ \boldsymbol{X}_t= \mathbb{ M}_t \boldsymbol{X}_{t-1} + \boldsymbol{Q}_t,$$ where $(\boldsymbol{Q}_t)$ are iid…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Sebastian Mentemeier , Olivier Wintenberger

There is a serious and long-standing restriction in the literature on heavy-tailed phenomena in that moment conditions, which are unrealistic, are almost always assumed in modelling such phenomena. Further, the issue of stability is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Yuxin Tao , Dong Li

Long Memory Stochastic volatility (LMSV) models capture two standardized features of financial data: the log-returns are uncorrelated, but their squares, or absolute values are (highly) dependent and they may have heavy tails. EGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-12 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of solutions to a Gas-liquid model with external forces and general pressure law. Under some suitable assumptions on the initial date and $\gamma>1$, if…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Long Fan , Qingqing Liu , Changjiang Zhu

Employing recent results of Robinson (2005) we consider the asymptotic properties of conditional-sum-of-squares (CSS) estimates of parametric models for stationary time series with long memory. CSS estimation has been considered as a rival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson

The asymptotic properties of the memory structure of ARCH($\infty$) equations are investigated. This asymptotic analysis is achieved by expressing the autocovariance function of ARCH($\infty$) equations as the solution of a linear Volterra…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-02-27 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels

This paper considers quantile regression for a wide class of time series models including ARMA models with asymmetric GARCH (AGARCH) errors. The classical mean-variance models are reinterpreted as conditional location-scale models so that…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-03 Jungsik Noh , Sangyeol Lee

This paper explores seasonal and long-memory time series properties by using the seasonal fractional ARIMA model when the seasonal data has one and two seasonal periods and short-memory counterparts. The stationarity and invertibility…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-29 Valderio A. Reisen , Wilfredo Palma , Josu Arteche , Bartolomeu Zamprogno

In this paper, we consider subgeometric (specifically, polynomial) ergodicity of univariate nonlinear autoregressions with autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH). The notion of subgeometric ergodicity was introduced in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-15 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

We study a generalized ARCH model with liquidity given by a general stationary process. We provide minimal assumptions that ensure the existence and uniqueness of the stationary solution. In addition, we provide consistent estimators for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor , Lauri Viitasaari , Marko Voutilainen