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The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for additive functionals of Markov chains is a well known result with a long history. In this paper we present applications to two finite-memory versions of the Elephant Random Walk, solving a problem from…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Jonah Green , Taylor Meredith , Hugo Panzo , Xiaoran Tan

The complexity and scale of IT systems are increasing dramatically, posing many challenges to real-world anomaly detection. Deep learning anomaly detection has emerged, aiming at feature learning and anomaly scoring, which has gained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Xue Yang , Enda Howley , Micheal Schukat

In this paper, we study a hypothesis test to determine the underlying directed graph structure of nodes in a network, where the nodes represent random processes and the direction of the links indicate a causal relationship between said…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Sina Molavipour , Germán Bassi , Mikael Skoglund

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing composite hypotheses. Our idea is to use confidence limits to define stopping and decision rules. The requirements of operating characteristic function can be satisfied by adjusting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Xinjia Chen

This article provides a thorough meta-analysis of the anomaly detection problem. To accomplish this we first identify approaches to benchmarking anomaly detection algorithms across the literature and produce a large corpus of anomaly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-29 Andrew Emmott , Shubhomoy Das , Thomas Dietterich , Alan Fern , Weng-Keen Wong

We consider probabilistic model checking for continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) induced from Stochastic Reaction Networks (SRNs) against a fragment of Continuous Stochastic Logic (CSL) extended with reward operators. Classical numerical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Luca Bortolussi , Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti

We consider the problem of efficient on-line anomaly detection in computer network traffic. The problem is approached statistically, as that of sequential (quickest) changepoint detection. A multi-cyclic setting of quickest change detection…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-23 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

Latent position models are widely used for the analysis of networks in a variety of research fields. In fact, these models possess a number of desirable theoretical properties, and are particularly easy to interpret. However, statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-08 Riccardo Rastelli , Florian Maire , Nial Friel

A novel class of methods for combining $p$-values to perform aggregate hypothesis tests has emerged that exploit the properties of heavy-tailed Stable distributions. These methods offer important practical advantages including robustness to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-05 Daniel J. Wilson

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in statistics. It states that the standardized sample mean of a sequence of $n$ mutually independent and identically distributed random variables with finite first and…

In this work, we show that uniform integrability is not a necessary condition for central limit theorems (CLT) to hold for normalized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimators and we provide near optimal weaker conditions under which the CLT…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Håkon Hoel , Sebastian Krumscheid

We obtain convergence rates (in the Levi-Prokhorove metric) in the functional central limit theorem (CLT) for partial sums $S_n=\sum_{j=1}^{n}\xi_{j,n}$ of triangular arrays $\{\xi_{1,n},\xi_{2,n},...,\xi_{n,n}\}$ satisfying some mixing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Yeor Hafouta

Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$, let $(X\_n)\_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $\xi$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S\_n = \sum\_{k=1}^{n} \xi(X\_k)$. Under functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Loïc Hervé

High complexity models are notorious in machine learning for overfitting, a phenomenon in which models well represent data but fail to generalize an underlying data generating process. A typical procedure for circumventing overfitting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 James Schmidt

In safety-critical machine learning applications, it is crucial to defend models against adversarial attacks -- small modifications of the input that change the predictions. Besides rigorously studied $\ell_p$-bounded additive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Mikhail Pautov , Nurislam Tursynbek , Marina Munkhoeva , Nikita Muravev , Aleksandr Petiushko , Ivan Oseledets

We study the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear eigenvalue statistics of several types of matrix models, whose entries are having exploding moments, i.e., moments of the entries are increasing with the size of the matrix. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Indrajit Jana , Sunita Rani

In this paper, we establish the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics (LSS) of large-dimensional sample covariance matrix when the population covariance matrices are not uniformly bounded, which is a nontrivial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Zhijun Liu , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai , Haiyan Song

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

We propose a novel non-parametric adaptive anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data based on rank-SVM. Data points are first ranked based on scores derived from nearest neighbor graphs on n-point nominal data. We then train a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-06 Jing Qian , Jonathan Root , Venkatesh Saligrama , Yuting Chen