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We propose MC+, a fast, continuous, nearly unbiased and accurate method of penalized variable selection in high-dimensional linear regression. The LASSO is fast and continuous, but biased. The bias of the LASSO may prevent consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Cun-Hui Zhang

Given data sampled from a number of variables, one is often interested in the underlying causal relationships in the form of a directed acyclic graph. In the general case, without interventions on some of the variables it is only possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Christopher Nowzohour , Peter Bühlmann

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

This paper introduces an estimator of the relative directed distance between an estimated model and the true model, based on the Kulback-Leibler divergence and is motivated by the generalized information criterion proposed by Konishi and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Antonino Abbruzzo , Ivan Vujačić , Ernst Wit , Angelo M. Mineo

This article investigates unsupervised classification techniques for categorical multivariate data. The study employs multivariate multinomial mixture modeling, which is a type of model particularly applicable to multilocus genotypic data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Dominique Bontemps , Wilson Toussile

Robust model-fitting to spectroscopic transitions is a requirement across many fields of science. The corrected Akaike and Bayesian information criteria (AICc and BIC) are most frequently used to select the optimal number of fitting…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 John K. Webb , Chung-Chi Lee , Robert F. Carswell , Dinko Milaković

The information criterion for determining the number of explanatory variables in a subset regression modeling is discussed. Information criterion such as AIC is effective and frequently used in model selection for ordinary regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Genshiro Kitagawa

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is commonly used to select a logistic regression model for optimal prediction of a binary response by a specified family of models. It however lacks a convincing method of prescribing a proper family…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Jiun-Wei Liou , Michelle Liou , Philip E. Cheng , Chin-Chiuan Lin

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

In segmented regression, when the regression function is continuous at the change-points that are the boundaries of the segments, it is also called joinpoint regression, and the analysis package developed by \cite{KimFFM00} has become a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-11 Kazuki Nakajima , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

Double-descent refers to the unexpected drop in test loss of a learning algorithm beyond an interpolating threshold with over-parameterization, which is not predicted by information criteria in their classical forms due to the limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Haobo Chen , Yuheng Bu , Gregory W. Wornell

Smoothed AIC (S-AIC) and Smoothed BIC (S-BIC) are very widely used in model averaging and are very easily to implement. Especially, the optimal model averaging method MMA and JMA have only been well developed in linear models. Only by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Miaomiao Wang , Xinyu Zhang , Alan T. K. Wan , Guohua Zou

Model selection is the problem of distinguishing competing models, perhaps featuring different numbers of parameters. The statistics literature contains two distinct sets of tools, those based on information theory such as the Akaike…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Andrew R Liddle

We develop a closed form asymptotic formula to compute the marginal likelihood of data given a naive Bayesian network model with two hidden states and binary features. This formula deviates from the standard BIC score. Our work provides a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Dmitry Rusakov , Dan Geiger

Information criteria such as Akaike's (AIC) and Bayes' (BIC) are widely used for model selection in physics and beyond, quantifying the tradeoff between model complexity and goodness-of-fit to enforce parsimony. However, their derivation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Kumar Utkarsh , Daniel M. Abrams

A class of variable selection procedures for parametric models via nonconcave penalized likelihood was proposed by Fan and Li to simultaneously estimate parameters and select important variables. They demonstrated that this class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Heng Peng

Popular statistical software provides Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for multilevel models or linear mixed models. However, it has been observed that the combination of statistical literature and software documentation has led to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Sun-Joo Cho , Hao Wu , Matthew Naveiras

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

Model selection is a pivotal process in the quantitative sciences, where researchers must navigate between numerous candidate models of varying complexity. Traditional information criteria, such as the corrected Akaike Information Criterion…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-16 Jakob Vanhoefer , Antonia Körner , Domagoj Doresic , Jan Hasenauer , Dilan Pathirana