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The ability to quickly and accurately detect anomalous structure within data sequences is an inference challenge of growing importance. This work extends recently proposed post-hoc (offline) anomaly detection methodology to the sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-16 Alexander T. M. Fisch , Lawrence Bardwell , Idris A. Eckley

We propose a new nonparametric procedure for the detection and estimation of multiple structural breaks in the autocovariance function of a multivariate (second- order) piecewise stationary process, which also identifies the components of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Philip Preuß , Ruprecht Puchstein , Holger Dette

We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Fadhel Ayed , Lorenzo Stella , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus

This paper proposes a new method for determining similarity and anomalies between time series, most practically effective in large collections of (likely related) time series, by measuring distances between structural breaks within such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Nick James , Max Menzies , Lamiae Azizi , Jennifer Chan

We propose a quickest change detection problem over sensor networks where both the subset of sensors undergoing a change and the local post-change distributions are unknown. Each sensor in the network observes a local discrete time random…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

A sensor network is considered where at each sensor a sequence of random variables is observed. At each time step, a processed version of the observations is transmitted from the sensors to a common node called the fusion center. At some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Taposh Banerjee , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Time series anomaly detection is an important process for system monitoring and model switching, among other applications in cyber-physical systems. In this document, we present a fast subspace method for time series anomaly detection, with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Fredy Vides , Esteban Segura , Carlos Vargas-Agüero

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

After obtaining an accurate approximation for $ARL_0$, we first consider the optimal design of weight parameter for a multivariate EWMA chart that minimizes the stationary average delay detection time (SADDT). Comparisons with moving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the online and nonparametric detection of abrupt and persistent anomalies, such as a change in the regular system dynamics at a time instance due to an anomalous event (e.g., a failure, a malicious activity). Combining the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-16 Yasin Yilmaz

A major concern when dealing with financial time series involving a wide variety ofmarket risk factors is the presence of anomalies. These induce a miscalibration of the models used toquantify and manage risk, resulting in potential…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Stéphane Crépey , Lehdili Noureddine , Nisrine Madhar , Maud Thomas

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

In 1985, for detecting a change in distribution, Pollak introduced a specific minimax performance metric and a randomized version of the Shiryaev-Roberts procedure where the zero initial condition is replaced by a random variable sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In the regime of change-point detection, a nonparametric framework based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing similarities among observations is gaining attention due to its flexibility and good performances for high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

Time series segmentation, a.k.a. multiple change-point detection, is a well-established problem. However, few solutions are designed specifically for high-dimensional situations. In this paper, our interest is in segmenting the second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Correlations between random variables play an important role in applications, e.g.\ in financial analysis. More precisely, accurate estimates of the correlation between financial returns are crucial in portfolio management. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-31 Pedro Galeano , Dominik Wied

Motivated by a condition monitoring application arising from subsea engineering we derive a novel, scalable approach to detecting anomalous mean structure in a subset of correlated multivariate time series. Given the need to analyse such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Martin Tveten , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead
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