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In this paper, the problem of quickly detecting an abrupt change on a stochastic process under Bayesian framework is considered. Different from the classic Bayesian quickest change-point detection problem, this paper considers the case…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

Robust change-point detection for large-scale data streams has many real-world applications in industrial quality control, signal detection, biosurveillance. Unfortunately, it is highly non-trivial to develop efficient schemes due to three…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Ruizhi Zhang , Yajun Mei , Jianjun Shi

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

We consider the sequential change-point detection for asynchronous multi-sensors, where each sensor observe a signal (due to change-point) at different times. We propose an asynchronous Subspace-CUSUM procedure based on jointly estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-25 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , George V. Moustakides

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The object of interest is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

For the classical continuous-time quickest change-point detection problem it is shown that the randomized Shiryaev-Roberts-Pollak procedure is asymptotically nearly minimax-optimal (in the sense of Pollak 1985) in the class of randomized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Sequential change-point detection in non-Gaussian stochastic processes is challenging because the underlying densities are rarely known in real time. Classical parametric procedures such as CUSUM lose optimality under distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Serhii Zabolotnii

This paper considers the constrained sampling multi-stream quickest change detection problem, also known as the bandit quickest change detection problem. One stream contains a change-point that shifts its mean by an unknown amount. The goal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Joshua Kartzman , Calvin Hawkins , Matthew Hale

We propose a nonparametric algorithm to detect structural breaks in the conditional mean and/or variance of a time series. Our method does not assume any specific parametric form for the dependence structure of the regressor, the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Archi Roy , Moumanti Podder , Soudeep Deb

Sequential change-point detection for graphs is a fundamental problem for streaming network data types and has wide applications in social networks and power systems. Given fixed vertices and a sequence of random graphs, the objective is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

Several variations of the Shiryaev-Roberts detection procedure in the context of the simple changepoint problem are considered: starting the procedure at $R_0=0$ (the original Shiryaev-Roberts procedure), at $R_0=r$ for fixed $r>0$, and at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Moshe Pollak , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We derive analytically an exact closed-form formula for the standard minimax Average Run Length (ARL) to false alarm delivered by the Generalized Shiryaev-Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure devised to detect a shift in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-23 Wenyu Du , Grigory Sokolov , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

This paper introduces an approach to multi-stream quickest change detection and fault isolation for unnormalized and score-based statistical models. Traditional optimal algorithms in the quickest change detection literature require explicit…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Wuxia Chen , Sean Moushegian , Vahid Tarokh , Taposh Banerjee

This work considers the problem of detecting signals from multiple sequentially observed data streams, where only one stream can be observed at every time instant. The goal is to detect signals as quickly as possible while controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

In this paper we give a solution to the quickest drift change detection problem for a multivariate L\'evy process consisting of both continuous (Gaussian) and jump components in the Bayesian approach. We do it for a general 0-modified…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Michał Krawiec , Zbigniew Palmowski

Monitoring economic conditions and financial stability with an early warning system serves as a prevention mechanism for unexpected economic events. In this paper, we investigate the statistical performance of sequential break-point…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-14 Christis Katsouris

Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…