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Business cycles tend to comove across countries. However, standard models that attribute comovement to propagation of exogenous shocks struggle to generate a level of comovement that is as high as in the data. In this paper, we consider…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-13 Marco Pangallo

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

In this paper, we study two standard (Keynesian) dynamic macroeconomic models (one is piecewise linear and the other is nonlinear). Our purpose is twofold: (1)~For each model, we give a complete characterisation for the existence of a…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-19 Tomohiro Uchiyama

Impulsive control is used to suppress the chaotic behavior in an one-dimensional discrete supply and demand dynamical system. By perturbing periodically the state variable with constant impulses, the chaos can be suppressed. It is proved…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-03 M. -F. Danca , M. Feckan

We study a dynamical model of interconnected firms which allows for certain market imperfections and frictions, restricted here to be myopic price forecasts and slow adjustment of production. Whereas the standard rational equilibrium is…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Julius Bonart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Augustin Landier , David Thesmar

This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-27 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

We present a new chaotic system of three coupled ordinary differential equations, limited to quadratic nonlinear terms. A wide variety of dynamical regimes are reported. For some parameters, chaotic reversals of the amplitudes are produced…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-03-05 Christophe Gissinger

Chaotic systems arise naturally in Statistical Mechanics and in Fluid Dynamics. A paradigm for their modelization are smooth hyperbolic systems. Are there consequences that can be drawn simply by assuming that a system is hyperbolic? here…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-26 Giovanni Gallavotti

What is chaos? Despite several decades of research on this ubiquitous and fundamental phenomenon there is yet no agreed-upon answer to this question. Recently, it was realized that all stochastic and deterministic differential equations,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-09-10 Igor V. Ovchinnikov , Massimiliano Di Ventra

Non-deterministic chaos is a new dynamical paradigm where a non-deterministic system is influenced by random perturbations to produce the appearance of complexity. The non-determinism is envisioned to occur only at a single point in phase…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 D. D. Dixon

We describe adaptive control algorithms whereby a chaotic dynamical system can be steered to a target state with desired characteristics. A specific implementation considered has the objective of directing the system to a state which is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Ramakrishna Ramaswamy , Sudeshna Sinha , Neelima Gupte

We explore the behaviour of an ensemble of chaotic oscillators coupled only to an external chaotic system, whose intrinsic dynamics may be similar or dissimilar to the group. Counter-intuitively, we find that a dissimilar external system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-01-23 Sudhanshu Shekhar Chaurasia , Sudeshna Sinha

The time needed to exchange information in the physical world induces a delay term when the respective system is modeled by differential equations. Time delays are hence ubiquitous, being furthermore likely to induce instabilities and with…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-31 Hendrik Wernecke , Bulcsú Sándor , Claudius Gros

Following a brief historical introduction of the notions of chaos in dynamical systems, we will present recent developments that attempt to profit from the rich structure and complexity of the chaotic dynamics. In particular, we will…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Louis J. Dube' , Philippe Despres

Strong nonlinear effects combined with diffusive coupling may give rise to unpredictable evolution in spatially extended deterministic dynamical systems even in the presence of a fully negative spectrum of Lyapunov exponents. This regime,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 F. Ginelli , R. Livi , A. Politi

In this chapter the complex systems are discussed in the context of economic and business policy and decision making. It will be showed and motivated that social systems are typically chaotic, non-linear and/or non-equilibrium and therefore…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Robert Kitt

A fundamental issue in nonlinear dynamics and statistical physics is how to distinguish chaotic from stochastic fluctuations in short experimental recordings. This dilemma underlies many complex systems models from stochastic gene…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-04-12 Chi-Sang Poon , Cheng Li , Guo-Qiang Wu

Deterministic chaos is phenomenon from nonlinear dynamics and it belongs to greatest advances of twentieth-century science. Chaotic behavior appears apart of mathematical equations also in wide range in observable nature, so as in there…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Radim Pánis , Martin Kološ , Zdeněk Stuchlík

Dynamical chaos is a term that encompasses a wide range of nonlinear phenomena such as turbulence, neuronal avalanches, weather patterns, and many others. However, despite much work in the field of chaos, its fundamental physical origin…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-05 Igor V. Ovchinnikov , Massimiliano Di Ventra

We consider the evolution of the unstable periodic orbit structure of coupled chaotic systems. This involves the creation of a complicated set outside of the synchronization manifold (the emergent set). We quantitatively identify a critical…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 E. Barreto , P. So , B. J. Gluckman , S. J. Schiff
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