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A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

When analysing multiple time series that may be subject to changepoints, it is sometimes possible to specify a priori, by means of a graph, which pairs of time series are likely to be impacted by simultaneous changepoints. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Melissa J. M. Turcotte

Multilayer networks generalize single-layered connectivity data in several directions. These generalizations include, among others, settings where multiple types of edges are observed among the same set of nodes (edge-colored networks) or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Daniele Durante , Francesco Gaffi , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNN) have numerous applications in different graph based learning tasks. Although the techniques obtain impressive results, they often fall short in accounting for the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Soumyasundar Pal , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Graphs serve as generic tools to encode the underlying relational structure of data. Often this graph is not given, and so the task of inferring it from nodal observations becomes important. Traditional approaches formulate a convex inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Max Wasserman , Gonzalo Mateos

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

In this paper we present a loss-based approach to change point analysis. In particular, we look at the problem from two perspectives. The first focuses on the definition of a prior when the number of change points is known a priori. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-09 Laurentiu Hinoveanu , Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa

The paper studies the problem of detecting and locating change points in multivariate time-evolving data. The problem has a long history in statistics and signal processing and various algorithms have been developed primarily for simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Jialiang Geng , George Michailidis

Many network analysis and graph learning techniques are based on models of random walks which require to infer transition matrices that formalize the underlying stochastic process in an observed graph. For weighted graphs, it is common to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Vincenzo Perri , Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Graph-based change point detection (CPD) play an irreplaceable role in discovering anomalous graphs in the time-varying network. While several techniques have been proposed to detect change points by identifying whether there is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yongshun Gong , Xue Dong , Jian Zhang , Meng Chen

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

The rapid development of high-throughput technologies has enabled the generation of data from biological or disease processes that span multiple layers, like genomic, proteomic or metabolomic data, and further pertain to multiple sources,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-25 Subhabrata Majumdar , George Michailidis

Tracking the spread of infectious disease during a pandemic has posed a great challenge to the governments and health sectors on a global scale. To facilitate informed public health decision-making, the concerned parties usually rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Tejasv Bedi , Yanxun Xu , Qiwei Li

The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura

Changepoint models enjoy a wide appeal in a variety of disciplines to model the heterogeneity of ordered data. Graphical influence diagnostics to characterize the influence of single observations on changepoint models are, however, lacking.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-23 Ines Wilms , Rebecca Killick , David S. Matteson

Although NP-Complete problems are the most difficult decisional problems, it is possible to discover in them polynomial (or easy) observables. We study the Graph Partitioning Problem showing that it is possible to recognize in it two…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 M. A. Marchisio

Full Bayesian computational inference for model determination in undirected graphical models is currently restricted to decomposable graphs, except for problems of very small scale. In this paper we develop new, more efficient methodology…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-05 Peter J. Green , Alun Thomas

We introduce a general Bayesian framework for graph matching grounded in a new theory of exchangeable random permutations. Leveraging the cycle representation of permutations and the literature on exchangeable random partitions, we define,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Francesco Gaffi , Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin

Complex systems which can be represented in the form of static and dynamic graphs arise in different fields, e.g. communication, engineering and industry. One of the interesting problems in analysing dynamic network structures is to monitor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Anna Malinovskaya , Philipp Otto , Torben Peters