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Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

Several two-boundary problems are solved for a special L\'{e}vy process: the Poisson process with an exponential component. The jumps of this process are controlled by a homogeneous Poisson process, the positive jump size distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Tetyana Kadankova , Noël Veraverbeke

Cohen and Kontorovich (COLT 2023) initiated the study of what we call here the Binomial Empirical Process: the maximal absolute value of a sequence of inhomogeneous normalized and centered binomials. They almost fully analyzed the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Moïse Blanchard , Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

We study a planar random motion $\big(X(t),\,Y(t)\big)$ with orthogonal directions, where the direction switches are governed by a homogeneous Poisson process. At each Poisson event, the moving particle turns clockwise or counterclockwise…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Manfred Marvin Marchione , Enzo Orsingher

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Enrico Scalas

We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Thierry Huillet

Consider a system of N components in which traffic arrives as separate but correlated nonhomogenous Poisson streams to each node rather than passing into the system at one entry point. A method is given to construct such systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Rachel Traylor

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig

We show that the splitting-characterization of the Poisson point process is an immediate consequence of the Mecke-formula.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Benjamin Nehring

It has been recently found that a number of systems displaying crackling noise also show a remarkable behavior regarding the temporal occurrence of successive events versus their size: a scaling law for the probability distributions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alvaro Corral

Based on the concept of self-decomposability, we extend some recent multivariate L\'evy models built using multivariate subordination with the aim of capturing situations in which a sudden event in one market is propagated onto related…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Hailiang Yang , Yildiray Yildirim

In this paper we derive intertwining relations for a broad class of conservative particle systems both in discrete and continuous setting. Using the language of point process theory, we are able to derive a natural framework in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-23 Simone Floreani , Sabine Jansen , Frank Redig , Stefan Wagner

Copula-based dependence modeling often relies on parametric formulations. This is mathematically convenient, but can be statistically inefficient when the parametric families are not suitable for the data and model in focus. A Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Ruyi Pan , Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Radu V. Craiu

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful non-parametric framework for reasoning over functions. Despite appealing theory, its superlinear computational and memory complexities have presented a long-standing challenge. State-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugh Salimbeni , Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots , Marc Deisenroth

We consider an $n$-tuple of independent ergodic Markov processes, each of which converges (in the sense of separation distance) at an exponential rate, and obtain a necessary and sufficient condition for the $n$-tuple to exhibit a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Stephen B. Connor

We construct new algorithms from scratch, which use the fourth order cumulant of stochastic variables for the cost function. The multiplicative updating rule here constructed is natural from the homogeneous nature of the Lie group and has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Toshinao Akuzawa , Noboru Murata

Noncolliding diffusion processes reported in the present paper are $N$-particle systems of diffusion processes in one-dimension, which are conditioned so that all particles start from the origin and never collide with each other in a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Minami Izumi , Makoto Katori

We consider renewal stochastic processes generated by non-independent events from the perspective that their basic distribution and associated generating functions obey the statistical-mechanical structure of systems with interacting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Jorge Velázquez , Alberto Robledo