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In this work, we introduce the notion of Context-Based Prediction Models. A Context-Based Prediction Model determines the probability of a user's action (such as a click or a conversion) solely by relying on user and contextual features,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Jan Hartman , Assaf Klein , Davorin Kopič , Natalia Silberstein

The optimization of bidding strategies for online advertising slot auctions presents a critical challenge across numerous digital marketplaces. A significant obstacle to the development, evaluation, and refinement of real-time autobidding…

Most recommendation engines today are based on predicting user engagement, e.g. predicting whether a user will click on an item or not. However, there is potentially a large gap between engagement signals and a desired notion of "value"…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Smitha Milli , Luca Belli , Moritz Hardt

This paper describes an engine to optimize web publisher revenues from second-price auctions. These auctions are widely used to sell online ad spaces in a mechanism called real-time bidding (RTB). Optimization within these auctions is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Pedro Chahuara , Nicolas Grislain , Grégoire Jauvion , Jean-Michel Renders

Predictive Process Monitoring aims to forecast the future progress of process instances using historical event data. As predictive process monitoring is increasingly applied in online settings to enable timely interventions, evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Suhwan Lee , Marco Comuzzi , Xixi Lu , Hajo A. Reijers

Given the massive market of advertising and the sharply increasing online multimedia content (such as videos), it is now fashionable to promote advertisements (ads) together with the multimedia content. It is exhausted to find relevant ads…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Huaizheng Zhang , Yong Luo , Qiming Ai , Yonggang Wen

Providing users with alternatives to choose from is an essential component in many online platforms, making the accurate prediction of choice vital to their success. A renewed interest in learning choice models has led to significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Nir Rosenfeld , Kojin Oshiba , Yaron Singer

"Creativity is the heart and soul of advertising services". Effective creatives can create a win-win scenario: advertisers can reach target users and achieve marketing objectives more effectively, users can more quickly find products of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Zhiguang Yang , Lu Wang , Chun Gan , Liufang Sang , Haoran Wang , Wenlong Chen , Jie He , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Jingping Shao

We study online learning problems in which a decision maker has to make a sequence of costly decisions, with the goal of maximizing their expected reward while adhering to budget and return-on-investment (ROI) constraints. Existing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Matteo Castiglioni , Andrea Celli , Christian Kroer

Federated learning makes it possible for all parties with data isolation to train the model collaboratively and efficiently while satisfying privacy protection. To obtain a high-quality model, an incentive mechanism is necessary to motivate…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Jingwen Zhang , Yuezhou Wu , Rong Pan

In online ad markets, a rising number of advertisers are employing bidding agencies to participate in ad auctions. These agencies are specialized in designing online algorithms and bidding on behalf of their clients. Typically, an agency…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Yurong Chen , Qian Wang , Zhijian Duan , Haoran Sun , Zhaohua Chen , Xiang Yan , Xiaotie Deng

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction models are integral to a myriad of industrial settings, such as personalized search advertising. Current methods typically involve feature extraction from users' historical behavior sequences combined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Lingwei Kong , Lu Wang , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Ching Law , Jingping Shao

Online advertisement is the main source of revenue for Internet business. Advertisers are typically ranked according to a score that takes into account their bids and potential click-through rates(eCTR). Generally, the likelihood that a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-06 Lulu Wang , Huahui Liu , Guanhao Chen , Shaola Ren , Xiaonan Meng , Yi Hu

Mature internet advertising platforms offer high-level campaign management tools to help advertisers run their campaigns, often abstracting away the intricacies of how each ad is placed and focusing on aggregate metrics of interest to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Vincent Conitzer , Christian Kroer , Debmalya Panigrahi , Okke Schrijvers , Eric Sodomka , Nicolas E. Stier-Moses , Chris Wilkens

Forming a reliable judgement of a machine learning (ML) model's appropriateness for an application ecosystem is critical for its responsible use, and requires considering a broad range of factors including harms, benefits, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Ben Hutchinson , Negar Rostamzadeh , Christina Greer , Katherine Heller , Vinodkumar Prabhakaran

Budget-management systems are one of the key components of modern auction markets. Internet advertising platforms typically offer advertisers the possibility to pace the rate at which their budget is depleted, through budget-pacing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Andrea Celli , Riccardo Colini-Baldeschi , Christian Kroer , Eric Sodomka

Over the past decades, recommendation has become a critical component of many online services such as media streaming and e-commerce. Recent advances in algorithms, evaluation methods and datasets have led to continuous improvements of the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Olivier Koch , Amine Benhalloum , Guillaume Genthial , Denis Kuzin , Dmitry Parfenchik

In online advertising, our aim is to match the advertisers with the most relevant users to optimize the campaign performance. In the pursuit of achieving this goal, multiple data sources provided by the advertisers or third-party data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Sahin Cem Geyik , Jianqiang Shen , Shahriar Shariat , Ali Dasdan , Santanu Kolay

We present a general, efficient technique for providing contextual predictions that are "multivalid" in various senses, against an online sequence of adversarially chosen examples $(x,y)$. This means that the resulting estimates correctly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Varun Gupta , Christopher Jung , Georgy Noarov , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth

This paper describes a generalizable model evaluation method that can be adapted to evaluate AI/ML models across multiple criteria including core scientific principles and more practical outcomes. Emerging from prediction competitions in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Jason L. Harman , Jaelle Scheuerman