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We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

This paper considers the problem of reconstructing missing parts of functions based on their observed segments. It provides, for Gaussian processes and arbitrary bijective transformations thereof, theoretical expressions for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Pauliina Ilmonen , Nourhan Shafik , Tommi Sottinen , Germain Van Bever , Lauri Viitasaari

Under certain mild conditions, some limit theorems for functionals of two independent Gaussian processes are obtained. The results apply to general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motion, sub-fractional Brownian motion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Jian Song , Fangjun Xu , Qian Yu

In this note we prove an existence and uniqueness result of solution for stochastic Volterra integral equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H > 1/2, showing also that the solution has finite moments. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Mireia Besalú , Carles Rovira

We obtain invariance principles for a wide class of fractionally integrated nonlinear processes. The limiting distributions are shown to be fractional Brownian motions. Under very mild conditions, we extend earlier ones on long memory…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu , Xiaofeng Shao

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Positive semi-definite kernels are used to induce pseudo-metrics, or ``distances'', between measures. We write these as an expected quadratic variation of, or expected inner product between, a random field and the difference of measures.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Ian Langmore

In some non-regular statistical estimation problems, the limiting likelihood processes are functionals of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst's parameter H; 0 < H <=? 1. In this paper we present several analytical and numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Alexander Novikov , Nino Kordzakhia , Timothy Ling

We construct in the small-time setting the upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in $\rn$. Our approach relies on the complex analysis technique and the asymptotic analysis of the inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 V. Knopova

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this article, we give some existence and smoothness results for the law of the solution to a stochastic heat equation driven by a finite dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. Our results rely on recent…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Aurélien Deya , Samy Tindel

We study the persistence probability for some two-sided discrete-time Gaussian sequences that are discrete-time analogs of fractional Brownian motion and integrated fractional Brownian motion, respectively. Our results extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

In this article we prove large deviations principles for high minima of Gaussian processes with nonnegatively correlated increments on arbitrary intervals. Furthermore, we prove large deviations principles for the increments of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Zachary Selk

We develop in this paper a generic Bayesian framework for the joint estimation of motion and recovery of missing data in a damaged video sequence. Using standard maximum a posteriori to variational formulation rationale, we derive generic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Francois Lauze , Mads Nielsen

Consider binary observations whose response probability is an unknown smooth function of a set of covariates. Suppose that a prior on the response probability function is induced by a Gaussian process mapped to the unit interval through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Subhashis Ghosal , Anindya Roy

Here we present well-posedness results for first order stochastic differential inclusions, more precisely for sweeping process with a stochastic perturbation. These results are provided in combining both deterministic sweeping process…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Frederic Bernicot , Juliette Venel

We introduce a new Gaussian process, a generalization of both fractional and subfractional Brownian motions, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural phenomena. We study its main stochastic properties and some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mounir Zili

Modern approximations to Gaussian processes are suitable for "tall data", with a cost that scales well in the number of observations, but under-performs on ``wide data'', scaling poorly in the number of input features. That is, as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Martin Jørgensen , Michael A. Osborne
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