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For many stochastic processes, the probability $S(t)$ of not-having reached a target in unbounded space up to time $t$ follows a slow algebraic decay at long times, $S(t)\sim S_0/t^\theta$. This is typically the case of symmetric compact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-09 N. Levernier , M. Dolgushev , O. Bénichou , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

We derive, up to a constant factor, matching lower and upper bounds on the concentration functions of suprema of separable centered Gaussian processes and order statistics of Gaussian random fields. These bounds reveal that suprema of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Alexander Giessing

A possible drawback of the ordinary correlation coefficient $\rho$ for two real random variables $X$ and $Y$ is that zero correlation does not imply independence. In this paper we introduce a new correlation coefficient $\rho^*$ which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wicher P. Bergsma

The observable outputs of many complex dynamical systems consist in time series exhibiting autocorrelation functions of great diversity of behaviors, including long-range power-law autocorrelation functions, as a signature of interactions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-05 Pedro Carpena , Pedro A. Bernaola-Galván , Manuel Gómez-Extremera , Ana V. Coronado

We consider the Airy$_1$ process, which is the limit process in KPZ growth models with flat and non-random initial conditions. We study the persistence probability, namely the probability that the process stays below a given threshold $c$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Patrik L. Ferrari , Min Liu

A special class of standard Gaussian Autoregressive Hilbertian processes of order one (Gaussian ARH(1) processes), with bounded linear autocorrelation operator, which does not satisfy the usual Hilbert-Schmidt assumption, is considered. To…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 M. Dolores Ruiz-Medina , J. Álvarez-Liébana

High-dimensional auto-regressive models provide a natural way to model influence between $M$ actors given multi-variate time series data for $T$ time intervals. While there has been considerable work on network estimation, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti

The far-from-equilibrium dynamics of glassy systems share important phenomenological traits. A transition is generally observed from a time-homogeneous dynamical regime to an aging regime where physical changes occur intermittently and, on…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-03-13 S. Boettcher , P. Sibani

We consider a system of independent branching random walks on $\R$ which start off a Poisson point process with intensity of the form $e_{\lambda}(du)=e^{-\lambda u}du$, where $\lambda\in\R$ is chosen in such a way that the overall…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Zakhar Kabluchko

Studying loop corrections to inflationary perturbations, with particular emphasis on infrared factors, is important to understand the consistency of the inflationary theory, its predictivity and to establish the existence of the slow-roll…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-11 Leonardo Senatore , Matias Zaldarriaga

Let $M_n$ be the maximum of $n$ zero-mean gaussian variables $X_1,..,X_n$ with covariance matrix of minimum eigenvalue $\lambda$ and maximum eigenvalue $\Lambda$. Then, for $n \ge 70$, $$\Pr\{M_n \ge \lambda \left (2 \log n - 2.5 - \log(2…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 J. A. Hartigan

We study the decay of convolution powers of probability measures without second moment but satisfying some weaker finite moment condition. For any locally compact unimodular group G and any positive function $\rho:G \rightarrow…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Alexander Bendikov , Laurent Saloff-Coste

We derive exact tail asymptotics of sojourn time above the level $u\geq 0$ $$ \mathbb{P}\left(v(u)\int_0^T \mathbb{I}(X(t)-ct>u)d t>x\right), \quad x\geq 0 $$ as $u\to\infty$, where $X$ is a Gaussian process with continuous sample paths,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu , Zbigniew Michna

Upper bounds for the probabilities $\mathbb{P}(F\geq \mathbb{E} F + r)$ and $\mathbb{P}(F\leq \mathbb{E} F - r)$ are proved, where $F$ is a certain component count associated with a random geometric graph built over a Poisson point process…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Sascha Bachmann

We investigate the persistence properties of critical d-dimensional systems relaxing from an initial state with non-vanishing order parameter (e.g., the magnetization in the Ising model), focusing on the dynamics of the global order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-02-14 Andrea Gambassi , Raja Paul , Gregory Schehr

Dynamic spin correlation functions $<S_i^x (t)S_j^x>$ for the 1D $S=1/2$ $XX$ model $H = -J\Sigma_i \{S_i^x S_{i+1}^x + S_i^y S_{i+1}^y \}$ are calculated exactly for finite open chains with up to N=10000 spins. Over a certain time range…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Joachim Stolze , Angela Nöppert , Gerhard Müller

We study persistence probabilities for random walks in correlated Gaussian random environment first studied by Oshanin, Rosso and Schehr. From the persistence results, we can deduce properties of critical branching processes with offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Frank Aurzada , Alexis Devulder , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

In this note, we give a short information-theoretic proof of the consistency of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models. Our proof yields nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Ingvar Ziemann

This is a significantly expanded version of the survey paper "Mixing and decay of correlations in non-uniformly expanding maps: a survey of recent results" math/0301319. We discuss recent results on decay of correlations for non-uniformly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stefano Luzzatto

The persistence exponent, which characterises the long-time decay of the survival probability of stochastic processes in the presence of an absorbing target, plays a key role in quantifying the dynamics of fluctuating systems. Determining…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-23 Julien Brémont , Léo Régnier , Olivier Bénichou , Raphaël Voituriez