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Related papers: A Compositional Framework for Markov Processes

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We introduce the Markov Distributional Conformal Prediction (MDCP) method that extends the distributional conformal prediction (previously developed for regression) to the setting of a strictly stationary Markov process. Instead of relying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Dehao Dai , Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

We consider a Markov process in continuous time with a finite number of discrete states. The time-dependent probabilities of being in any state of the Markov chain are governed by a set of ordinary differential equations, whose dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Fernando Lopez-Caamal , Tatiana T. Marquez-Lago

Open dynamical systems are mathematical models of machines that take input, change their internal state, and produce output. For example, one may model anything from neurons to robots in this way. Several open dynamical systems can be…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-02-25 David I. Spivak

A definition of metastable states applicable to arbitrary finite state Markov processes satisfying detailed balance is discussed. In particular, we identify a crucial condition that distinguishes genuine metastable states from other types…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Francois Leyvraz , Hernan Larralde , David P. Sanders

A Markovian bridge is a probability measure taken from a disintegration of the law of an initial part of the path of a Markov process given its terminal value. As such, Markovian bridges admit a natural parameterization in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Loïc Chaumont , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

Identifying coherent flow structures in chemical reactors is crucial for understanding the mixing dynamics, which is essential for optimizing reactor performance. We demonstrate the use of a transfer operator method to find coherent flow…

The thermodynamic formalism, which was first developed for dynamical systems and then applied to discrete Markov processes, turns out to be well suited for continuous time Markov processes as well, provided the definitions are interpreted…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Vivien Lecomte , Cecile Appert-Rolland , Frederic Van-Wijland

Using straightforward linear algebra we derive response operators describing the impact of small perturbations to finite state Markov processes. The results can be used for studying empirically constructed - e.g. from observations or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-27 Valerio Lucarini

Generators of Markov processes on a countable state space can be represented as finite or infinite matrices. One key property is that the off-diagonal entries corresponding to jump rates of the Markov process are non-negative. Here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Florian Völlering

Systems with interacting degrees of freedom play a prominent role in stochastic thermodynamics. Our aim is to use the concept of detached path probabilities and detached entropy production for bipartite Markov processes and elaborate on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-17 Jannik Ehrich , Andreas Engel

Entropy production and the detailed fluctuation theorem are of fundamental importance for thermodynamic processes. In this paper, we study the multiple entropy production for multitime quantum processes in a unified framework. For closed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 Zhiqiang Huang

A hidden Markov process is a well known concept in information theory and is used for a vast range of applications such as speech recognition and error correction. We bridge between two disciplines, experimental physics and advanced…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ido Kanter , Aviad Frydman , Asaf Ater

Understanding the generative mechanism of a natural system is a vital component of the scientific method. Here, we investigate one of the fundamental steps toward this goal by presenting the minimal generator of an arbitrary binary Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-14 J. Ruebeck , R. G. James , J. R. Mahoney , J. P. Crutchfield

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

An $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Markov process $X^{(x)}_t=(X^{1,x_1}_t,\dots,X^{d,x_d}_t)$, $t\ge0,x\in\mathbb{R}^d$ is said to be multi-self-similar with index $(\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_d)\in[0,\infty)^d$ if the identity in law…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Loïc Chaumont , Salem Lamine

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We present a method for solving implicit (factored) Markov decision processes (MDPs) with very large state spaces. We introduce a property of state space partitions which we call epsilon-homogeneity. Intuitively, an epsilon-homogeneous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Thomas L. Dean , Robert Givan , Sonia Leach

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

A dynamical system may be defined by a simple transition law - such as a map or a vector field. The objective of most learning techniques is to reconstruct this dynamic transition law. This is a major shortcoming, as most dynamic properties…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Suddhasattwa Das
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