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In this work, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) based on non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is applied to the CFD problem of the flow past an airfoil with parameterized angle of attack and inflow velocity. To limit the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Saddam Hijazi , Giovanni Stabile , Andrea Mola , Gianluigi Rozza

A spline chaos expansion, referred to as SCE, is introduced for uncertainty quantification analysis. The expansion provides a means for representing an output random variable of interest with respect to multivariate orthonormal basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Sharif Rahman

This article is devoted to providing a review of mathematical formulations in which Polynomial Chaos Theory (PCT) has been incorporated into stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). In the past decade, PCT has been shown to provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Prabhat K. Mishra , Joel A. Paulson , Richard D. Braatz

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are an efficient and widely used surrogate modeling method in uncertainty quantification for engineering problems with computationally expensive models. To make use of the available information in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-26 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

We apply the Tensor Train (TT) decomposition to construct the tensor product Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) of a random field, to solve the stochastic elliptic diffusion PDE with the stochastic Galerkin discretization, and to compute some…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Sergey Dolgov , Boris N. Khoromskij , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed \cite{Kantarakias_Papadakis_2023} sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-02 George Papadakis , Kyriakos D. Kantarakias

A surrogate model approximates a computationally expensive solver. Polynomial Chaos is a method to construct surrogate models by summing combinations of carefully chosen polynomials. The polynomials are chosen to respect the probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Thomas A. McCourt , Brodie Lawson , Fengde Zhou , Bevan Thompson , Stephen Tyson , Diane Donovan

In this letter, we compare three polynomial chaos expansion (PCE)-based methods for ANCOVA (ANalysis of COVAriance) indices based global sensitivity analysis for correlated random inputs in two power system applications. Surprisingly, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-17 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , François Bouffard

Frequency response functions (FRFs) are important for assessing the behavior of stochastic linear dynamic systems. For large systems, their evaluations are time-consuming even for a single simulation. In such cases, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-23 V. Yaghoubi , S. Marelli , B. Sudret , T. Abrahamsson

Incorporating probabilistic terms in mathematical models is crucial for capturing and quantifying uncertainties in real-world systems, especially when the solution is not unique or exhibits sudden qualitative changes as parameters vary.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Isabella Carla Gonnella , Moaad Khamlich , Federico Pichi , Gianluigi Rozza

The surrogate model-based uncertainty quantification method has drawn much attention in many engineering fields. Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and deep learning (DL) are powerful methods for building a surrogate model. However, PCE needs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Wen Yao , Xiaohu Zheng , Jun Zhang , Ning Wang , Guijian Tang

We consider the numerical approximation of different ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and partial differential equations (PDEs) with periodic boundary conditions involving a one-dimensional random parameter, comparing the intrusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Julian Clausnitzer , Andreas Kleefeld

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

The growing need for uncertainty analysis of complex computational models has led to an expanding use of meta-models across engineering and sciences. The efficiency of meta-modeling techniques relies on their ability to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Katerina Konakli , Bruno Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have seen widespread use in the context of uncertainty quantification. However, their application to structural reliability problems has been hindered by the limited performance of PCE in the tails of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-10 S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) method has been extensively used in uncertainty quantification problems where equations contain random variables. For gPC to achieve high accuracy, PDE solutions need to have high regularity in the random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-30 Qin Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Ruiwen Shu

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-16 R. Schoebi , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

For a large class of orthogonal basis functions, there has been a recent identification of expansion methods for computing accurate, stable approximations of a quantity of interest. This paper presents, within the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-13 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

We present an enriched formulation of the Least Squares (LSQ) regression method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) using generalised polynomial chaos (gPC). More specifically, we enrich the linear system with additional equations for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Kyriakos D. Kantarakias , George Papadakis