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This paper reviews the checkered history of predictive distributions in statistics and discusses two developments, one from recent literature and the other new. The first development is bringing predictive distributions into machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-25 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Valery Manokhin , Alex Gammerman

Existing prompt-optimization techniques rely on local signals to update behavior, often neglecting broader and recurring patterns across tasks, leading to poor generalization; they further rely on full-prompt rewrites or unstructured…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Balaji Dinesh Gangireddi , Aniketh Garikaparthi , Manasi Patwardhan , Arman Cohan

Kernel mean embeddings, a widely used technique in machine learning, map probability distributions to elements of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). For supervised learning problems, where input-output pairs are observed, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-24 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Learning causal relationships is a fundamental problem in science. Anchor regression has been developed to address this problem for a large class of causal graphical models, though the relationships between the variables are assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Wenqi Shi , Wenkai Xu

In modern scientific research, massive datasets with huge numbers of observations are frequently encountered. To facilitate the computational process, a divide-and-conquer scheme is often used for the analysis of big data. In such a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-06 Chen Xu , Yongquan Zhang , Runze Li

We propose a novel framework for matching estimators for causal effect from observational data that is based on minimizing the dual norm of estimation error when expressed as an operator. We show that many popular matching estimators can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-01 Nathan Kallus

Variable selection is central to high-dimensional data analysis, and various algorithms have been developed. Ideally, a variable selection algorithm shall be flexible, scalable, and with theoretical guarantee, yet most existing algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Xin He , Junhui Wang , Shaogao Lv

Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

Kernel classifiers and regressors designed for structured data, such as sequences, trees and graphs, have significantly advanced a number of interdisciplinary areas such as computational biology and drug design. Typically, kernels are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Hanjun Dai , Bo Dai , Le Song

This paper introduces a computational framework to identify nonlinear input-output operators that fit a set of system trajectories while satisfying incremental integral quadratic constraints. The data fitting algorithm is thus regularized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Henk J. van Waarde , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Statistical machine learning plays an important role in modern statistics and computer science. One main goal of statistical machine learning is to provide universally consistent algorithms, i.e., the estimator converges in probability or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Christmann , Florian Dumpert , Dao-Hong Xiang

Single index linear models for binary response with random coefficients have been extensively employed in many econometric settings under various parametric specifications of the distribution of the random coefficients. Nonparametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-15 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

Quantiles and expectiles are determined by different loss functions: asymmetric least absolute deviation for quantiles and asymmetric squared loss for expectiles. This distinction ensures that quantile regression methods are robust to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Abdellah Atanane , Abdallah Mkhadri , Karim Oualkacha

Hopfield networks using Hebbian learning suffer from limited storage capacity. While supervised methods like Linear Logistic Regression (LLR) offer some improvement, kernel methods like Kernel Logistic Regression (KLR) significantly enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Akira Tamamori

Kernel regression is a popular non-parametric fitting technique. It aims at learning a function which estimates the targets for test inputs as precise as possible. Generally, the function value for a test input is estimated by a weighted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Rongqing Huang , Shiliang Sun

Reconstructing the structure of thin films and multilayers from measurements of scattered X-rays or neutrons is key to progress in physics, chemistry, and biology. However, finding all structures compatible with reflectometry data is…

Representation learning plays a crucial role in automated feature selection, particularly in the context of high-dimensional data, where non-parametric methods often struggle. In this study, we focus on supervised learning scenarios where…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Bertille Follain , Francis Bach

Classical methods for quantile regression fail in cases where the quantile of interest is extreme and only few or no training data points exceed it. Asymptotic results from extreme value theory can be used to extrapolate beyond the range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Nicola Gnecco , Edossa Merga Terefe , Sebastian Engelke

The classical kernel ridge regression problem aims to find the best fit for the output $Y$ as a function of the input data $X\in \mathbb{R}^d$, with a fixed choice of regularization term imposed by a given choice of a reproducing kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Yang Li , Feng Ruan