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We present a new approach to goal recognition that involves comparing observed facts with their expected probabilities. These probabilities depend on a specified goal g and initial state s0. Our method maps these probabilities and observed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Nils Wilken , Lea Cohausz , Christian Bartelt , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov

Naturalistic driving action localization task aims to recognize and comprehend human behaviors and actions from video data captured during real-world driving scenarios. Previous studies have shown great action localization performance by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Quang Vinh Nguyen , Vo Hoang Thanh Son , Chau Truong Vinh Hoang , Duc Duy Nguyen , Nhat Huy Nguyen Minh , Soo-Hyung Kim

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

In many areas, practitioners seek to use observational data to learn a treatment assignment policy that satisfies application-specific constraints, such as budget, fairness, simplicity, or other functional form constraints. For example,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

We propose a framework that can incrementally expand the explanatory temporal logic rule set to explain the occurrence of temporal events. Leveraging the temporal point process modeling and learning framework, the rule content and weights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Chao Yang , Lu Wang , Kun Gao , Shuang Li

An active inference problem of detecting anomalies among heterogeneous processes is considered. At each time, a subset of processes can be probed. The objective is to design a sequential probing strategy that dynamically determines which…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Boshuang Huang , Kobi Cohen , Qing Zhao

We consider a multi-stage distributed detection scenario, where $n$ sensors and a fusion center (FC) are deployed to accomplish a binary hypothesis test. At each time stage, local sensors generate binary messages, assumed to be spatially…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-04 Guangyang Zeng , Xiaoqiang Ren , Junfeng Wu

A sensor network is considered where at each sensor a sequence of random variables is observed. At each time step, a processed version of the observations is transmitted from the sensors to a common node called the fusion center. At some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Taposh Banerjee , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The repeated presentation of an identical visual stimulus in the receptive field of a neuron may evoke different spiking patterns at each trial. Probabilistic methods are essential to understand the functional role of this variance within…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-15 Wahiba Taouali , Giacomo Benvenuti , Pascal Wallisch , Frédéric Chavane , Laurent Perrinet

We consider the problem of reinforcement learning when provided with (1) a baseline control policy and (2) a set of constraints that the learner must satisfy. The baseline policy can arise from demonstration data or a teacher agent and may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Tsung-Yen Yang , Justinian Rosca , Karthik Narasimhan , Peter J. Ramadge

A novel method for sequential outlier detection in non-stationary time series is proposed. The method tests the null hypothesis of ``no outlier'' at each time point, addressing the multiple testing problem by bounding the error probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Florian Heinrichs , Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

Information theory has been very successful in obtaining performance limits for various problems such as communication, compression and hypothesis testing. Likewise, stochastic control theory provides a characterization of optimal policies…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-15 Dhruva Kartik , Ekraam Sabir , Urbashi Mitra , Prem Natarajan

We observe $n$ inhomogeneous Poisson processes with covariates and aim at estimating their intensities. We assume that the intensity of each Poisson process is of the form $s (\cdot, x)$ where $x$ is the covariate and where $s$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Mathieu Sart

Policy search reinforcement learning has been drawing much attention as a method of learning a robot control policy. In particular, policy search using such non-parametric policies as Gaussian process regression can learn optimal actions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Hikaru Sasaki , Takamitsu Matsubara

Anomaly detection systems need to consider a lot of information when scanning for anomalies. One example is the context of the process in which an anomaly might occur, because anomalies for one process might not be anomalies for a different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Sebastian Eresheim , Lukas Daniel Klausner , Patrick Kochberger

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where observations are obtained on-line, an abrupt change occurs in their distribution, and the goal is to quickly detect the change and accurately identify the post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris
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