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In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

We show a probabilistic functional limit result for one-dimensional diffusion processes that are reflected at an elastic boundary which is a function of the reflection local time. Such processes are constructed as limits of a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Dirk Becherer , Todor Bilarev , Peter Frentrup

The bifurcation theory of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), and its application to deterministic population models, are by now well established. In this article, we begin to develop a complementary theory for diffusion-like…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Eric Foxall

For a diffusion process $X(t)$ of drift $\mu(x)$ and of diffusion coefficient $D=1/2$, we study the joint distribution of the two local times $A(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)) $ and $B(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)-L) $ at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-04 Alain Mazzolo , Cécile Monthus

We introduce the {\Delta}(i)/GI/1 queue, a new queueing model. In this model, customers from a given population independently sample a time to arrive from some given distribution F. Thus, the arrival times are an ordered statistics, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Harsha Honnappa , Rahul Jain , Amy R. Ward

We derive and analyze new diffusion approximations of stationary distributions of Markov chains that are based on second- and higher-order terms in the expansion of the Markov chain generator. Our approximations achieve a higher degree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Anton Braverman , J. G. Dai , Xiao Fang

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

In this paper, we study the diffusion approximation for singularly perturbed stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with a fast oscillating term. The asymptotic limit for the original system is obtained, where an extra Gaussian term…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Longjie Xie , Li Yang

Discrete-time queueing system has widespread applications in packet switching networks, internet protocol, Broadband Integrated Services Digital Network (B-ISDN), circuit switched time-division multiple access etc. In this paper, we analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-20 S Pradhan , N Nandy

In this paper, we propose a class of discrete-time approximation schemes for stochastic optimal control problems under the $G$-expectation framework. The proposed schemes are constructed recursively based on piecewise constant policy. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Lianzi Jiang

In this work, we investigate a numerical procedure for recovering a space-dependent diffusion coefficient in a (sub)diffusion model from the given terminal data, and provide a rigorous numerical analysis of the procedure. By exploiting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Bangti Jin , Xiliang Lu , Qimeng Quan , Zhi Zhou

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

Diffusion approximations are widely used in the analysis of service systems, providing tractable insights into complex models. While heavy-traffic limit theorems justify these approximations asymptotically, they do not quantify the error…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Anton Braverman , Ziv Scully

Time delay in general leads to instability in some systems, while a specific feedback with delay can control fluctuated motion in nonlinear deterministic systems to a stable state. In this paper, we consider a non-stationary stochastic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-02 Hiroyasu Ando , Kohta Takehara , Miki U. Kobayashi

This paper proposes a widely applicable method of approximate maximum-likelihood estimation for multivariate diffusion process from discretely sampled data. A closed-form asymptotic expansion for transition density is proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Chenxu Li

We develop and analyze a numerical method for stochastic time-fractional diffusion driven by additive fractionally integrated Gaussian noise. The model involves two nonlocal terms in time, i.e., a Caputo fractional derivative of order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Bangti Jin , Yubin Yan , Zhi Zhou

In this paper we introduce a new diffusion approximation for the steady-state customer count of the Erlang-C system. Unlike previous diffusion approximations, which use the steady-state distribution of a diffusion process with a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Anton Braverman , J. G. Dai
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