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Evolution has resulted in highly developed abilities in many natural intelligences to quickly and accurately predict mechanical phenomena. Humans have successfully developed laws of physics to abstract and model such mechanical phenomena.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Sebastien Ehrhardt , Aron Monszpart , Niloy J. Mitra , Andrea Vedaldi

Span extraction is an essential problem in machine reading comprehension. Most of the existing algorithms predict the start and end positions of an answer span in the given corresponding context by generating two probability vectors. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Huaishao Luo , Yu Shi , Ming Gong , Linjun Shou , Tianrui Li

We introduce a new protocol for prediction with expert advice in which each expert evaluates the learner's and his own performance using a loss function that may change over time and may be different from the loss functions used by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-03-23 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Formulating real-world optimization problems often begins with making predictions from historical data (e.g., an optimizer that aims to recommend fast routes relies upon travel-time predictions). Typically, learning the prediction model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Chris Cameron , Jason Hartford , Taylor Lundy , Kevin Leyton-Brown

Split conformal prediction is a computationally efficient method for performing distribution-free predictive inference in regression. It involves, however, a one-time random split of the data, and the result depends on the particular split.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-22 Aldo Solari , Vera Djordjilović

In complex real-world tasks such as robotic manipulation and autonomous driving, collecting expert demonstrations is often more straightforward than specifying precise learning objectives and task descriptions. Learning from expert data can…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Daulet Baimukashev , Gokhan Alcan , Kevin Sebastian Luck , Ville Kyrki

We consider a model of selective prediction, where the prediction algorithm is given a data sequence in an online fashion and asked to predict a pre-specified statistic of the upcoming data points. The algorithm is allowed to choose when to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

Probabilistic modeling is iterative. A scientist posits a simple model, fits it to her data, refines it according to her analysis, and repeats. However, fitting complex models to large data is a bottleneck in this process. Deriving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-03 Alp Kucukelbir , Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , Andrew Gelman , David M. Blei

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Regular expressions and automata models with capture variables are core tools in rule-based information extraction. These formalisms, also called regular document spanners, use regular languages in order to locate the data that a user wants…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-03-15 Fernando Florenzano , Cristian Riveros , Martin Ugarte , Stijn Vansummeren , Domagoj Vrgoc

Learning algorithms are often used in conjunction with expert decision makers in practical scenarios, however this fact is largely ignored when designing these algorithms. In this paper we explore how to learn predictors that can either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Hussein Mozannar , David Sontag

Minimizing the empirical risk is a popular training strategy, but for learning tasks where the data may be noisy or heavy-tailed, one may require many observations in order to generalize well. To achieve better performance under less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-16 Matthew J. Holland , Kazushi Ikeda

Deep neural network-based time series prediction models have recently demonstrated superior capabilities in capturing complex temporal dependencies. However, it is challenging for these models to account for uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Linghao Kong , Xiaopeng Hong

Learning predictive models from small high-dimensional data sets is a key problem in high-dimensional statistics. Expert knowledge elicitation can help, and a strong line of work focuses on directly eliciting informative prior distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Homayun Afrabandpey , Tomi Peltola , Samuel Kaski

Imitation learning is a widely used approach for training agents to replicate expert behavior in complex decision-making tasks. However, existing methods often struggle with compounding errors and limited generalization, due to the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Haldun Balim , Yang Hu , Yuyang Zhang , Na Li

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

As the size of modern data sets exceeds the disk and memory capacities of a single computer, machine learning practitioners have resorted to parallel and distributed computing. Given that optimization is one of the pillars of machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Biyi Fang , Diego Klabjan

Time series forecasting with limited data is a challenging yet critical task. While transformers have achieved outstanding performances in time series forecasting, they often require many training samples due to the large number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Yunkai Zhang , Qiao Jiang , Shurui Li , Xiaoyong Jin , Xueying Ma , Xifeng Yan