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Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent centered stationary Gaussian processes with unit variance and almost surely continuous sample paths. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of conjunctions $C_{[0,T],u}:=\{t\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabis

Max-stable processes are widely used to model spatial extremes. These processes exhibit asymptotic dependence meaning that the large values of the process can occur simultaneously over space. Recently, inverted max-stable processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Milind Nakul , Vidya Muthukumar , Ashwin Pananjady

Let $\eta=(\eta(t))_{t\in T}$ be a sample continuous max-infinitely random field on a locally compact metric space $T$. For a closed subset $S\in T$, we note $\eta_{S}$ the restriction of $\eta$ to $S$. We consider $\beta(S_1,S_2)$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

Necessary and sufficient conditions are established for the stability of a high-mobility N-class Aloha network, where the position of the sources follows a Poisson point process, each source has an infinity capacity buffer, packets arrive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-30 P. S. Dester , P. Cardieri , J. M. C. Brito

We prove limit theorems for functionals of a Poisson point process using the Malliavin calculus on the Poisson space. The target distribution is conditionally either a Gaussian vector or a Poisson random variable. The convergence is stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Ronan Herry

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

Max-stable processes are the natural analogues of the generalized extreme-value distribution for the modelling of extreme events in space and time. Under suitable conditions, these processes are asymptotically justified models for maxima of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-27 Raphaël Huser , A. C. Davison

Nonstationarity of real-life time series requires model adaptation. In classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH there is assumed some arbitrarily chosen dependence type. To avoid their bias, we will focus on novel more agnostic approach: moving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jarek Duda

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Beth Andrews , Matthew Calder , Richard A. Davis

Poisson processes in the space of $k$-dimensional totally geodesic subspaces ($k$-flats) in a $d$-dimensional standard space of constant curvature $\kappa\in\{-1,0,1\}$ are studied, whose distributions are invariant under the isometries of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Carina Betken , Daniel Hug , Christoph Thäle

We study the asymptotic behavior of empirical processes generated by measurable bounded functions of an infinite source Poisson transmission process when the session length have infinite variance. In spite of the boundedness of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 François Roueff , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Philippe Soulier

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

We show that for any centered stationary Gaussian process of integrable covariance, whose spectral measure has compact support, or finite exponential moments (and some additional regularity), the number of zeroes of the process in $[0,T]$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Riddhipratim Basu , Amir Dembo , Naomi Feldheim , Ofer Zeitouni

We study an $n$-species $t$-PushTASEP, an integrable long-range stochastic process, on a one-dimensional periodic lattice with inhomogeneities $x_1,\ldots,x_L$ and arbitrary capacity $l$ at each lattice site. The Markov matrix is identified…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-02-20 Arvind Ayyer , Atsuo Kuniba

We demonstrate a vast expansion of the theory of evolutionary stability to finite populations with mutation, connecting the theory of the stationary distribution of the Moran process with the Lyapunov theory of evolutionary stability. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Marc Harper , Dashiell Fryer

We develop efficient methods for simulating processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type related to the class of $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable ($\ts$) distributions. Our results hold for both the univariate and multivariate cases and we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Michael Grabchak , Piergiacomo Sabino

We deal with a generalized statistical description of nonequilibrium complex systems based on least biased distributions given some prior information. A maximum entropy principle is introduced that allows for the determination of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

Consider a time-varying collection of n points on the positive real axis, modeled as exponentials of n Brownian motions whose drift vector at every time point is determined by the relative ranks of the coordinate processes at that time. If…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-06 Sourav Chatterjee , Soumik Pal