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We prove the first Chernoff-Hoeffding bounds for general nonreversible finite-state Markov chains based on the standard L_1 (variation distance) mixing-time of the chain. Specifically, consider an ergodic Markov chain M and a weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Kai-Min Chung , Henry Lam , Zhenming Liu , Michael Mitzenmacher

Consider the following computational problem: given a regular digraph $G=(V,E)$, two vertices $u,v \in V$, and a walk length $t\in \mathbb{N}$, estimate the probability that a random walk of length $t$ from $u$ ends at $v$ to within $\pm…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Edward Pyne , Salil Vadhan

We consider a discrete time simple symmetric random walk on Z^d, d>=1, where the path of the walk is perturbed by inserting deterministic jumps. We show that for any time n and any deterministic jumps that we insert, the expected number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Lung-Chi Chen , Rongfeng Sun

In this note, we compute the probability that a two-dimensional symmetric random walk visits more vertices than expected, for deviations on scales between the mean behavior and linear growth.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Serguei Popov , Quirin Vogel

In this paper, the large deviations on trajectory level for ergodic Markov processes are studied. These processes take values in the non-negative quadrant of the two dimension lattice and are concentrated on step-wise functions. The rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 A. Mogulskii , E. Pechersky , A. Yambartsev

We consider the extreme value statistics of centrally-biased random walks with asymptotically-zero drift in the ergodic regime. We fully characterize the asymptotic distribution of the maximum for this class of Markov chains lacking…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-28 Roberto Artuso , Manuele Onofri , Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice

In this note, we give an original convergence result for products of independent random elements of motion group. Then we consider dynamic random walks which are inhomogeneous Markov chains whose transition probability of each step is, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-04 C. R. E. Raja , R. Schott

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

This paper studies the influence of probabilism and non-determinism on some quantitative aspect X of the execution of a system modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). To this end, the novel notion of demonic variance is introduced: For…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Jakob Piribauer

We investigate random walks on complex networks and derive an exact expression for the mean first passage time (MFPT) between two nodes. We introduce for each node the random walk centrality $C$, which is the ratio between its coordination…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jae Dong Noh , Heiko Rieger

We consider a discrete time random walk in one dimension. At each time step the walker jumps by a random distance, independent from step to step, drawn from an arbitrary symmetric density function. We show that the expected positive maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar

We study Markov chains on a lattice in a codimension-one stratified independent random environment, exploiting results established in [2]. First of all the random walk is transient in dimension at least three. Focusing on dimension two,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Julien Brémont

We consider the recently introduced Transformation-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) (Dutta and Bhattacharya (2014)), a methodology that is designed to update all the parameters simultaneously using some simple deterministic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Kushal Kumar Dey , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We prove that the sum of $t$ boolean-valued random variables sampled by a random walk on a regular expander converges in total variation distance to a discrete normal distribution at a rate of $O(\lambda/t^{1/2-o(1)})$, where $\lambda$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Louis Golowich

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

Random walks on the circle group $\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}$ whose elementary steps are lattice variables with span $\alpha \not\in \mathbb{Q}$ or $p/q \in \mathbb{Q}$ taken mod $\mathbb{Z}$ exhibit delicate behavior. In the rational case we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Istvan Berkes , Bence Borda

A finite ergodic Markov chain is said to exhibit cutoff if its distance to stationarity remains close to 1 over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Discovered in the context of card…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-10 Anna Ben-Hamou , Justin Salez

In this paper, we study a mean-variance optimization problem in an infinite horizon discrete time discounted Markov decision process (MDP). The objective is to minimize the variance of system rewards with the constraint of mean performance.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Li Xia

We study a family of distributed stochastic optimization algorithms where gradients are sampled by a token traversing a network of agents in random-walk fashion. Typically, these random-walks are chosen to be Markov chains that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Jie Hu , Vishwaraj Doshi , Do Young Eun

A Markov chain (MC) formalism is used to investigate the mean-square displacement (MSD) of a random walker on Newman-Watts (NW) networks. It leads to a precise analysis of the conditions for the emergence of anomalous sub- or…